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Forecasting company profits /
In the first book to look from a thoroughly practical perspective on the crucial business of profits forecasting, Fred Wellings provides an integrated approach to the theories which underpin the forecasting process. This approach also recognises the limitations faced by the outsider in the real worl...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Boca Raton :
CRC Press : Woodhead Pub.,
1998.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Front Cover; Forecasting Company Profits; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgements; Introduction; Part I: The Industry; Chapter 1. The outsider's challenge; The outsider; Pattern recognition; Qualitative or quantitative?; You already know how to forecast; Why do we forecast?; Some warnings; Chapter 2. Long term trends and the growth industry; Extrapolation of past trends: a justification; Product ownership and saturation levels; Consumer durables; Consumer non-durables; Capital goods; Components and intermediates; Chapter 3. Playing the cycle.
- The fallacy of the non-cyclical businessThe consumer cycle; The stock cycle; The elapsed time cycle; The investment cycle; The replacement cycle; The shape of the cycle; Part II:The company; Chapter 4. Market share; The speed of change; What do we mean by market share?; Management; 'Cherry picking'; Chapter 5. Sources of information; The annual report; Other sources of information; Talking to the company
- inside/outside information; Chapter 6. The short term profits forecast; The outsider's approach; Model building; How the cycle works; Disparate businesses; Financing.
- Forecasting the unexpectedChapter 7. The long term profits forecast; The end of the growth phase; Financing; Long term scarcity; Smoothing profits; Conclusion; Bibliography; Index; Sectors and products index; Companies index.