Primary surplus behavior and risks to fiscal sustainability in emerging market countries : a "fan-chart" approach /

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algor...

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Détails bibliographiques
Cote:Libro Electrónico
Auteurs principaux: Celasun, Oya (Auteur), Debrun, Xavier (Auteur), Ostry, Jonathan David, 1962- (Auteur)
Collectivité auteur: International Monetary Fund. Research and Fiscal Affairs Department
Format: Électronique eBook
Langue:Inglés
Publié: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Research and Fiscal Affairs Dept., 2006.
Collection:IMF working paper ; WP/06/67.
Sujets:
Debts, Public > Econometric models.
Fiscal policy > Econometric models.
Dettes publiques > Modèles économétriques.
Politique fiscale > Modèles économétriques.
Debts, Public > Econometric models
Fiscal policy > Econometric models
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