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Is the Cycle the Trend? Evidence from the Views of International Forecasters.

We revisit the conventional view that output fluctuates around a stable trend by analyzing professional long-term forecasts for 38 advanced and emerging market economies. If transitory deviations around a trend dominate output fluctuations, then forecasters should not change their long-term output l...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Bluedorn, John C.
Otros Autores: Leigh, Daniel
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; no. 18/163.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo