Constructing forecast confidence bands during the financial crisis /
We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a zero floor, and bank lending tightening affects the United States. To calculate confidence intervals...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autor principal: | |
Autor Corporativo: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
2009.
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Colección: | IMF working paper ;
WP/09/214. |
Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |