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Environmental foresight and models : a manifesto /
Policy-makers and the public, it has famously been said, are more interested in the possibility of non-linear dislocations and surprises in the behaviour of the environment than in smooth extrapolations of current trends. The International Task Force in Forecasting Environmental Change (1993-1998) d...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Otros Autores: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Amsterdam [Netherlands] ; New York :
Elsevier,
2002.
|
| Edición: | 1st ed. |
| Colección: | Developments in environmental modelling ;
22. |
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo Texto completo Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- We have a problem ; Beginnings of a change of perspective ; Structural change : a definition ; The manifesto ; Epilogue / M.B. Beck
- Lake Erie and evolving issues of the quality of its water / W.M. Schertzer and D.C.L. Lam
- Impacts of acidic atmospheric deposition on the chemical composition of stream water and soil water / G.M. Hornberger
- The ozone problem / R.L. Dennis
- Belief networks : generating the feared dislocations / O. Varis
- Random search and the reachability of target futures / M.B. Beck, J. Chen and O.O. Osidele
- Uncertainty and the detection of structural change in models of environmental systems / K.J. Beven
- Simplicity out of complexity / P.C. Young and S. Parkinson
- Structural effects of landscape and land use on streamflow response / T.S. Kokkonen and A.J. Jakeman
- Elasto-plastic deformation of structure / M.B. Beck, J.D. Stigter and D. Lloyd Smith
- Detecting and forecasting growth in the seeds of change / J. Chen and M.B. Beck
- Probing the shores of ignorance / R.L. Dennis, J.R. Arnold and G.S. Tonnesen
- Parametric change as the agent of control / K.J. Keesman
- Identifying the inclination of a system towards a terminal state from current observations / A.V. Kryazhimskii and M.B. Beck.