Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics : logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives /

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Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics,...

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Bibliographic Details
Call Number:Libro Electrónico
Other Authors: Tetlock, Philip E. (Philip Eyrikson), 1954-, Belkin, Aaron, 1966-
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, c1996.
Series:Princeton paperbacks
Subjects:
World politics.
History > Philosophy.
Counterfactuals (Logic)
Thought experiments.
Politique mondiale.
Expériences de pensée.
Contrefactuels (Logique)
Histoire > Philosophie.
15.03 methods and techniques of history.
89.52 political psychology.
POLITICAL SCIENCE > History & Theory.
History > Philosophy
Thought experiments
World politics
Gedankenexperiment
Geschichte
Internationale Politik
Aufsatzsammlung
Internationale politiek.
Counterfactual analysis.
Teoria politica.
Filosofia.
Historia (teoria)
Azerbaijan crisis.
Bay of Pigs.
Goldstone, Jack.
Halifax, Lord.
Iranian revolution.
Jowitt, Ken.
Khrushchev, N.
Leninism.
Napoleon.
Nash equilibrium.
Qavam.
Riser, E.
Russian revolution.
Stalinism.
Thucydides.
data scarcity.
experimental method.
hindsight.
legitimacy issues.
moral catastrophes.
nomothetic counterfactuals.
optimality constraints.
perfect equilibrium.
policy makers.
proximity criterion.
reification.
structuralism.
tripolar world.
Aufsatzsammlung.
Online Access:Texto completo
Table of Contents:
  • 1. Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives / Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin
  • 2. Causes and Counterfactuals in Social Science: Exploring an Analogy between Cellular Automata and Historical Processes / James D. Fearon
  • 3. Counterfactual Reasoning in Western Studies of Soviet Politics and Foreign Relations / George W. Breslauer
  • 4. Confronting Hitler and Its Consequences / Yuen Foong Khong
  • 5. Back to the Past: Counterfactuals and the Cuban Missile Crisis / Richard Ned Lebow and Janice Gross Stein
  • 6. Counterfactual Reasoning in Motivational Analysis: U.S. Policy toward Iran / Richard K. Herrmann and Michael P. Fischerkeller
  • 7. Counterfactuals about War and Its Absence / Bruce Russett
  • 8. Using Counterfactuals in Historical Analysis: Theories of Revolution / Edgar Kiser and Margaret Levi
  • 9. Counterfactuals and International Affairs: Some Insights from Game Theory / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita.

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