Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 /

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The withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq will create a vacuum in the way security is achieved and power is exercised throughout Iraq. As U.S. Marines draw down in al-Anbar Province, significant changes can be expected throughout the province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relatio...

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Bibliographic Details
Call Number:Libro Electrónico
Main Author: Bruce, James B.
Corporate Authors: Intelligence Policy Center (U.S.), United States. Marine Corps Intelligence Activity
Other Authors: Martini, Jeffrey
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.
Series:Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-278-MCIA.
Subjects:
2000-2099
Social prediction > Iraq > Anbār (Province) > Case studies > Congresses.
Social change > Iraq > Anbār (Province) > Congresses.
Iraq War, 2003-2011 > Influence > Congresses.
Disengagement (Military science) > Congresses.
History & Archaeology.
Social Sciences.
Middle East.
Social Conditions.
Guerre en Irak, 2003-2011 > Influence > Congrès.
Décrochage (Science militaire) > Congrès.
Anbār (Iraq : Province) > Politics and government > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Anbār (Iraq : Province) > Social conditions > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Anbār (Iraq : Province) > Economic conditions > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
United States.
Iraq
Iraq > Anbār (Province)
United States
proceedings (reports)
Conference papers and proceedings
Conference papers and proceedings.
Actes de congrès.
Online Access:Texto completo
Table of Contents:
  • Executive summary
  • What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province?
  • How this study was conducted
  • Implications
  • Major takeaways
  • Study approach
  • Assumptions
  • Drivers
  • Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival
  • Scenario B: Every clan for itself
  • Scenario C: Iron fist
  • Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad
  • Scenario E: Path to stability
  • The importance of drivers
  • Indications and warnings
  • Conclusions and implications.

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