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Tourism demand modelling and forecasting : modern econometric approaches /

"The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications." "The book begins wit...

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Bibliographic Details
Call Number:Libro Electrónico
Main Author: Song, Haiyan
Other Authors: Witt, Stephen F.
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Amsterdam ; New York : Pergamon, 2000.
Edition:1st ed.
Series:Advances in tourism research series.
Subjects:
Online Access:Texto completo
Table of Contents:
  • Determinants of Tourism Demand
  • Functional Form and Demand Elasticities
  • Traditional Methodology of Tourism Demand Modelling
  • Traditional Methodology of Tourism Demand Modelling
  • Failure of the Traditional Approach to Tourism Demand Modelling
  • General-to-Specific Modelling
  • Tests of Restrictions on Regression Parameters
  • Diagnostic Checking
  • Model Selection
  • Cointegration
  • Spurious Regression
  • The Concept of Cointegration
  • Test for Order of Integration
  • Test for Cointegration
  • Error Correction Model
  • Cointegration and Error Correction Mechanism
  • Estimating the ECM
  • Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Cointegration
  • Basics of VAR Analysis
  • Impulse Response Analysis
  • Forecasting with VAR and Error Variance Decomposition
  • Testing for Granger Causality and Exogeneity
  • An Example of VAR Modelling
  • VAR Modelling and Cointegration
  • Time Varying Parameter Modelling
  • Are Tourism Demand Elasticities Constant Over Time?
  • The TVP Model and Kalman Filter
  • Panel Data Analysis
  • Model Specification and Estimation
  • An Empirical Study of a Tourism Demand Model Based on the Panel Data Approach
  • Evaluation of Forecasting Performance
  • Measures of Forecasting Accuracy
  • Forecasting Evaluation of Different Models.