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|a Sokolsky, Richard.
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|a NATO and Caspian security :
|b a mission too far? /
|c Richard Sokolsky, Tanya Charlick-Paley.
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|a Santa Monica, CA :
|b RAND,
|c 1999.
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|a 1 online resource (xix, 113 pages) :
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|a Includes bibliographical references (pages 99-113).
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|a This report attempts to put the Caspian Basin and Central Asia into a comprehensive strategic perspective at a time when NATO is increasingly concerned with challenges on its periphery. The authors examine NATO's interests, capabilities, and constraints as well as the salient trends and factors shaping the regional security environment. In spite of the region's potential energy riches and the jockeying for influence among major powers and oil interests, the authors suggest that NATO should see the region as a potential quagmire rather than as a vacuum waiting to be filled. The report discusses Western objectives and interests in the Caspian, internal and intraregional threats to Western interests, the competition for influence among outside powers, transnational threats, Caspian oil and energy security, and implications for NATO and Western policy and planning. The authors conclude that the West has limited interests and leverage in the Caspian Basin, and the Alliance should focus on promoting the restructuring and professionalization of indigenous armed forces, while resisting new commitments and security responsibilities in the region.
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|a Print version record.
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|a PREFACE -- PROJECT AIR FORCE -- FIGURES -- SUMMARY -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- INTRODUCTION -- WESTERN OBJECTIVES AND INTERESTS IN THE CASPIAN REGION -- INTERNAL AND REGIONAL THREATS TO NATO INTERESTS -- INTERNAL THREATS TO STABILITY -- ECONOMIC DEPRIVATION AND SOCIAL DISCONTENT -- DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH: REALITIES AND EXPECTATIONS -- REGIONAL SOURCES OF CONFLICT AND INSTABILITY -- THE REGIONÌS FUTURE AND CHALLENGES FOR THE WEST -- THE THREAT OF REGIONAL HEGEMONY -- RUSSIA: THE ONCE BUT NOT FUTURE HEGEMON -- CHINAÌS LIMITED INFLUENCE -- TURKEYÌS ELUSIVE QUEST FOR A LARGER ROLE.
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|a IRAN: CHIPPING AWAY AT THE MARGINS -- INDIA AND PAKISTAN -- TRANSNATIONAL THREATS -- THE RISK OF WMD PROLIFERATION -- Tajikistan -- Kyrgyzstan -- Turkmenistan -- Kazakhstan -- Uzbekistan -- Azerbaijan -- The Risk of Leakage -- THE SPREAD OF POLITICAL ISLAM -- CASPIAN OIL AND ENERGY SECURITY -- IMPLICATIONS FOR NATO AND WESTERN POLICY AND PLANNING -- PEACETIME MILITARY ACTIVITIES -- CRISIS MANAGEMENT AND PEACEKEEPING -- MAJOR MILITARY OPERATIONS -- BIBLIOGRAPHY.
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|a National security
|z Caspian Sea Region.
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|a Caspian Sea Region
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|a Caspian Sea Region.
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|a Charlick-Paley, Tanya,
|d 1968-
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|i Print version:
|a Sokolsky, Richard.
|t NATO and Caspian security.
|d Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 1999
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