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EBOOKCENTRAL_on1347029676 |
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OCoLC |
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20240329122006.0 |
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m o d |
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cr cnu|||||||| |
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230209s2014 xx o ||| 0 eng d |
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|a EBLCP
|b eng
|c EBLCP
|d OCLCQ
|d EBLCP
|d OCLCQ
|d OCLCO
|d OCLCQ
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| 020 |
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|a 9781118620816
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|a 111862081X
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|a (OCoLC)1347029676
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4 |
|a 363.34/6
|q OCoLC
|2 23/eng/20230216
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| 049 |
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|a UAMI
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Stein, Seth.
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| 245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Playing Against Nature
|h [electronic resource] :
|b Integrating Science and Economics to Mitigate Natural Hazards in an Uncertain World.
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| 260 |
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|a Newark :
|b American Geophysical Union,
|c 2014.
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| 300 |
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|a 1 online resource (298 p.).
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| 490 |
1 |
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|a New York Academy of Sciences Ser.
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| 500 |
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|a Description based upon print version of record.
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| 505 |
0 |
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|a Cover -- Title page -- Copyright page -- Contents -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Note on Further Reading and Sources -- About the Companion Website -- 1: A Tricky, High-Stakes Game -- 1.1 Where We Are Today -- 1.2 What We Need to Do Better -- 1.3 How Can We Do Better? -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 2: When Nature Won -- 2.1 The Best-Laid Plans -- 2.2 Why Hazard Assessment Went Wrong -- 2.3 How Mitigation Fared -- 2.4 The Challenges Ahead -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 3: Nature Bats Last -- 3.1 Prediction Is Hard
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| 505 |
8 |
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|a 3.2 Forecasts, Predictions, and Warnings -- 3.3 Earthquake Prediction -- 3.4 Chaos -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 4: Uncertainty and Probability -- 4.1 Basic Ideas -- 4.2 Compound Events -- 4.3 The Gaussian Distribution -- 4.4 Probability vs Statistics -- 4.5 Shallow and Deep Uncertainties -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 5: Communicating What We Know and What We Don't -- 5.1 Recognizing and Admitting Uncertainties -- 5.2 Precision and Accuracy -- 5.3 Testing Forecasts -- 5.4 Communicating Forecasts -- Questions
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| 505 |
8 |
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|a Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 6: Human Disasters -- 6.1 Assessing Hazards -- 6.2 Vulnerability and Interconnections -- 6.3 The 2008 US Financial Disaster -- 6.4 Pseudodisasters and Groupthink -- 6.5 Disaster Chic -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 7: How Much Is Enough? -- 7.1 Rational Policy Making -- 7.2 Lessons from National Defense -- 7.3 Making Choices -- 7.4 Uncertainty and Risk Aversion -- 7.5 Present and Future Value -- 7.6 Valuing Lives -- 7.7 Implications for Natural Hazard Mitigation -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References
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| 505 |
8 |
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|a 8: Guessing the Odds -- 8.1 Big Events Are Rare -- 8.2 Time-Independent Probability Models -- 8.3 Time-Dependent Probability Models -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 9: When's the Next Earthquake? -- 9.1 A Very Tough Problem -- 9.2 Earthquake Frequency-Magnitude Relation -- 9.3 Earthquake Cycle Model -- 9.4 Computing Earthquake Probabilities -- 9.5 Shaky Probabilities -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 10: Assessing Hazards -- 10.1 Five Tough Questions -- 10.2 Uncertainties -- 10.3 How Is the Hazard Defined?
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| 505 |
8 |
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|a 10.4 Where Will Large Earthquakes Occur? -- 10.5 When Will Large Earthquakes Occur? -- 10.6 How Big Will the Large Earthquakes Be? -- 10.7 How Much Shaking? -- 10.8 Dealing With the Uncertainties -- 10.9 Next Steps -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 11: Mitigating Hazards -- 11.1 Approaches -- 11.2 Accepting Risk -- 11.3 Transferring Risk -- 11.4 Avoiding Risk -- 11.5 Mitigating Risk -- 11.6 Combined Strategies -- Questions -- Further Reading and Sources -- References -- 12: Choosing Mitigation Policies -- 12.1 Making Choices -- 12.2 House Fire Mitigation
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| 500 |
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|a 12.3 Losses from Hazards
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| 590 |
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|a ProQuest Ebook Central
|b Ebook Central Academic Complete
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| 655 |
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0 |
|a Electronic books.
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| 776 |
0 |
8 |
|i Print version:
|a Stein, Seth
|t Playing Against Nature
|d Newark : American Geophysical Union,c2014
|z 9781118620786
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| 830 |
|
0 |
|a New York Academy of Sciences Ser.
|
| 856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://ebookcentral.uam.elogim.com/lib/uam-ebooks/detail.action?docID=7103884
|z Texto completo
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| 938 |
|
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|a ProQuest Ebook Central
|b EBLB
|n EBL7103884
|
| 994 |
|
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|a 92
|b IZTAP
|
