Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Herrmann, Jeffrey W.
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Newark : John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, 2015.
Colección:New York Academy of Sciences Ser.
Temas:
Electronic books.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Intro
  • Title Page
  • Copyright
  • Dedication
  • Table of Contents
  • Preface
  • Chapter 1: Introduction to Engineering Decision Making
  • 1.1 Introduction
  • 1.2 Decision Making in Engineering Practice
  • 1.3 Decision Making and Optimization
  • 1.4 Decision Making and Problem Solving
  • 1.5 Decision Making and Risk Management
  • 1.6 Problems in Decision Making
  • 1.7 The Value of Improving Decision Making
  • 1.8 Perspectives on Decision Making
  • Exercises
  • References
  • Chapter 2: Decision-Making Fundamentals
  • 2.1 Decision Characteristics
  • 2.2 Objectives in Decision Making
  • 2.3 Influence Diagrams
  • 2.4 Rationality
  • 2.5 Dominance
  • 2.6 Choice Strategies
  • 2.7 Making Tradeoffs
  • 2.8 Reframing the Decision
  • 2.9 Risk Acceptance
  • 2.10 Measurement Scales
  • Exercises
  • References
  • Chapter 3: Multicriteria Decision Making
  • 3.1 Pugh Concept Selection Method
  • 3.2 Analytic Hierarchy Process
  • 3.3 Multiattribute Utility Theory
  • 3.4 Conjoint Analysis
  • 3.5 Value of A Statistical Life
  • 3.6 Compensation
  • 3.7 The Impact of Changing Weights
  • Exercises
  • References
  • Chapter 4: Group Decision Making
  • 4.1 Ranking
  • 4.2 Scoring and Majority Judgment
  • 4.3 Arrow's Impossibility Theorem
  • Exercises
  • References
  • Chapter 5: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
  • 5.1 Types of Uncertainties
  • 5.2 Assessing a Subjective Probability
  • 5.3 Imprecise Probabilities
  • 5.4 Cumulative Risk Profile and Dominance
  • 5.5 Decision Trees: Modeling
  • 5.6 Decision Trees: Determining Expected Values
  • 5.7 Sequential Decision Making
  • 5.8 Modeling Risk Aversion
  • 5.9 Robustness
  • 5.10 Uncertainty Propagation: Sensitivity Analysis
  • 5.11 Uncertainty Propagation: Method of Moments
  • 5.12 Uncertainty Propagation: Monte Carlo Simulation
  • Exercises
  • 7.8 The Analytic-Deliberative Process
  • 7.9 Concept Selection
  • 7.10 Decision Calculus
  • 7.11 Recognition-Primed Decision Making
  • 7.12 Heuristics
  • 7.13 Unconscious Decision Making
  • 7.14 Search
  • 7.15 Types of Search in Practice
  • 7.16 Secretary Problem
  • 7.17 Composite Decisions
  • 7.18 Separation
  • 7.19 Product Development Processes
  • Exercises
  • References
  • Chapter 8: The Value of Information
  • 8.1 The Expected Value of Perfect Information
  • 8.2 The Expected Value of Imperfect Information
  • 8.3 Experimentation to Reduce Ambiguity

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