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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling : Volume I, Review and Recommendations.
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
National Academies Press
1991.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions; Copyright; Contents; Acknowledgments; Summary; IMPROVING THE TOOLS OF POLICY ANALYSIS: INVESTMENT PRIORITIES; Validation; Better Data; THE ROLE OF MICROSIMULATION AS A POLICY ANALYSIS TOOL; Databases; Model Design and Development; Computing Technology; Validation; Documentation and Archiving; The Structure of the Community; The Use of Microsimulation for Basic Research; RECOMMENDATIONS FOR IMPROVING POLICY ANALYSIS; Data; Validation; RECOMMENDATIONS FOR MICROSIMULATION MODELS; Databases; Model Design and Development; Computing Technology.
- Health Care and Retirement Policy ModelingValidation; Documentation and Archiving; Structure of the Microsimulation Modeling Community; 1 Introduction; A SCENE IN WASHINGTON, D.C.; THE TOOLS OF POLICY ANALYSIS; THE PANEL STUDY; Part I Information for Social Welfare Policy: Toward A Second Revolution; 2 The Search for Useful Information; THE FIRST INFORMATION REVOLUTION; POLICY ANALYSIS: BETWEEN SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH AND POLITICS; A CASE STUDY OF POLICY ANALYSIS: THE FAMILY SUPPORT ACT OF 1988; Provisions That Could Be Estimated With Microsimulation Models.
- Provisions That Could Not Be Estimated With Microsimulation ModelsProblems in the Estimation Process; 3 Improving the Tools and Uses of Policy Analysis; A STRATEGY FOR INVESTMENT; DATA QUALITY AND AVAILABILITY; Investment in Data Production; Coordination of Data Production; Broadened Data Collection; Linking Survey and Administrative Data; Adding Value to Existing Data; VALIDATION; The Difficulty of Validation; Kinds of Model Validation; External Validation; Internal Validation; Investment in Model Validation; DOCUMENTATION AND COMMUNICATION OF THE RESULTS OF POLICY ANALYSIS.
- Documentation and Archiving as Aids to ValidationCommunicating Validation Results to Decision Makers; Appendix Models, Uncertainty, and Confidence Intervals; MODELS; UNCERTAINTY OF AN ESTIMATE; CONDITIONAL VERSUS UNCONDITIONAL CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; AN ILLUSTRATIVE DIAGRAM; Part II The Role of Microsimulation as a Policy Analysis Tool; 4 Microsimulation Models: Then and Now; BASIC ELEMENTS OF MICROSIMULATION MODELS; DEVELOPMENT OF MICROSIMULATION MODELING FOR POLICY ANALYSIS; Origins: 1950s to mid-1960s; Development of Static Models: Late 1960s to Early 1980s.
- Development of Dynamic Models: 1970s to Early 1980sRetreats and Advances: The 1980s; ROLE AND CURRENT STATUS OF MICROSIMULATION: FINDINGS; Overall Value; A Range of Policy Analysis Tools; Analytical Costs; Model Uncertainty; Data Adequacy; Research Knowledge; Computer Technologies; Microsimulation Modeling Community; Future Directions; 5 Databases for Microsimulation; DATA QUALITY: THE MARCH CPS; Survey-Based Problems; Coverage; Response Rates; Sampling Error; Missing Detail; Data Omissions; STRATEGIES FOR TREATING MISSING AND ERRONEOUS DATA; Disaggregation; Imputation for Item Nonresponse.