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IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.

Annotation

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: International Monetary Fund 2010.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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520 8 |a Annotation  |b This article provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. Few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to reflect incoming news. Nor do they fully take into account interdependence among economies. There is also a tendency for groupthink among forecasters, preventing them from giving due weight to their individual priors. 
505 0 |a Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Content Page; Forecasting Recessions: Consensus and Disagreement; Searching for Robust Growth Determinants; Visiting Scholars, January-March 2010; Q & A: Seven Questions about House Price Cycles; IMF Working Papers; IMF Staff Papers; Staff Position Notes. 
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720 |a Tamirisa, Natalia. 
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