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EBOOKCENTRAL_ocn805516560 |
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OCoLC |
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20240329122006.0 |
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m o d |
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cr un|---uuuuu |
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120806s2010 xx o 000 0 eng d |
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|a 817806594
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|a 1283538482
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|a 9781283538480
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|a DEBBG
|b BV044086375
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|a (OCoLC)805516560
|z (OCoLC)817806594
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|a HG3881.5.I58
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|a 332
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|a UAMI
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|a IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.
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|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2010.
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|a 1 online resource (13 pages)
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|a text
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|a Annotation
|b This article provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. Few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to reflect incoming news. Nor do they fully take into account interdependence among economies. There is also a tendency for groupthink among forecasters, preventing them from giving due weight to their individual priors.
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|a Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Content Page; Forecasting Recessions: Consensus and Disagreement; Searching for Robust Growth Determinants; Visiting Scholars, January-March 2010; Q & A: Seven Questions about House Price Cycles; IMF Working Papers; IMF Staff Papers; Staff Position Notes.
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590 |
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|a ProQuest Ebook Central
|b Ebook Central Academic Complete
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610 |
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|a International Monetary Fund.
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|a International Monetary Fund
|2 fast
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|a International finance.
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|a Economic development
|x Research.
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650 |
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|a Développement économique
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|a Economic development
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|a International finance
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720 |
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|a Tamirisa, Natalia.
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|u https://ebookcentral.uam.elogim.com/lib/uam-ebooks/detail.action?docID=3014578
|z Texto completo
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938 |
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|a ProQuest MyiLibrary Digital eBook Collection
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|n 385093
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994 |
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|a 92
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