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Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts.

How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting inflation as a production process, which induces a strict di...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: International Monetary Fund 2006.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/06/122.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 0 0 |a Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts. 
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520 |a How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting inflation as a production process, which induces a strict discipline concerning data management, information gathering, the use of a suitable statistical apparatus, and the exercise of sound communication strategies to reinforce reputation and credibility. It becomes critical how a central bank organizes itself to produce relevant macroeconomic forecasts, with special consideration to product design, the essential requirements needed in the forecasting process, and key related organizational issues. In addition, the paper proposes to factor into the process the authorities' policy responses to previous inflation forecasts in order to be consistent with the spirit of the inflation targeting framework. 
505 0 |a Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FORECAST DESIGN AND ORGANIZATION -- III. ELEMENTS OF THE FORECAST -- IV. MISCELLANEOUS TOPICS -- References 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
650 0 |a Banks and banking, Central. 
650 0 |a Inflation (Finance)  |x Forecasting. 
650 0 |a Monetary policy. 
650 0 |a Banks of issue. 
650 6 |a Banques centrales. 
650 6 |a Inflation  |x Prévision. 
650 6 |a Politique monétaire. 
650 7 |a Banks of issue  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Banks and banking, Central  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Inflation (Finance)  |x Forecasting  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Monetary policy  |2 fast 
720 |a Parrado, Eric. 
830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/06/122. 
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