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The utilization-adjusted output gap : is the Russian economy overheating? /

This paper estimates the output gap in Russia using a utilization-adjusted production function approach, which we argue is preferable to traditional output gap methods. The approach amounts to (1) using available surveys to estimate the "natural rates" of capacity and labor utilization abo...

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Détails bibliographiques
Cote:Libro Electrónico
Auteurs principaux: Oomes, Nienke (Auteur), Dynnikova, Oksana (Auteur)
Collectivités auteurs: International Monetary Fund. European Department, International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Department
Format: Électronique eBook
Langue:Inglés
Publié: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, European Dept. and Policy Development and Review Dept., ©2006.
Collection:IMF working paper ; WP/06/68.
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:Texto completo
Table des matières:
  • Contents
  • I. INTRODUCTION
  • II. THE NONACCELERATING INFLATION RATE OF FACTOR UTILIZATION
  • III. FACTOR UTILIZATION IN RUSSIA
  • A. Capacity Utilization
  • B. Labor Utilization
  • C. Estimating the Natural Rate
  • IV. OUTPUT GAP ESTIMATES
  • A. Trend Fitting and Statistical Filtering
  • B. Production Function Approach
  • V. CONCLUSIONS
  • I. Characteristics and Methodology of Capacity Utilization Surveys
  • II. Econometric NAICU Estimates
  • III. Statistical Methods for Estimating the Output Gap
  • References