Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies /

"Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Reco...

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Bibliographic Details
Call Number:Libro Electrónico
Corporate Author: National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Washington, D.C. : National Academies Press, ©2010.
Subjects:
Disruptive technologies.
Technological forecasting.
Technological innovations.
Technologie de rupture.
Prévision technologique.
Innovations.
TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING > General.
Disruptive technologies
Technological forecasting
Technological innovations
Online Access:Texto completo
Table of Contents:
  • Need for persistent long-term forecasting of disruptive technologies
  • Existing technology forecasting methodologies
  • The nature of disruptive technologies
  • Reducing forecasting ignorance and bias
  • Ideal attributes of a disruptive technology forecasting system
  • Evaluating existing persistent forecasting systems
  • Conclusion.

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