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Estimating default frequencies and macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking sector /

The credit risk measures we develop in this paper are used to investigate macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking system. Domestic and external macro-financial variables are found to be closely associated with banking soundness. At the aggregate level, high external volatility and domestic in...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Blavy, Rodolphe (Autor), Souto, Marcos Rietti (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/09/109.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Descripción
Sumario:The credit risk measures we develop in this paper are used to investigate macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking system. Domestic and external macro-financial variables are found to be closely associated with banking soundness. At the aggregate level, high external volatility and domestic interest rates are associated with higher expected default probability. Though results vary substantially across individual banks, domestic activity and U.S. growth, and higher asset prices, are generally associated with lower credit risks, while increased volatility worsens credit risks. The expected default probability is also found to be a leading indicator of traditional financial stability indicators.
Descripción Física:1 online resource (32 pages) : illustrations
Bibliografía:Includes bibliographical references (page 30).