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A coincident indicator of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) business cycle /

This paper constructs a coincident indicator for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) area business cycle. The resulting coincident indicator provides a reliable measure of the GCC business cycle; over the last decade, the GCC coincident index and the real GDP growth have moved closely together. Since...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Al-Hassan, Abdullah (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, DC] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/09/73.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Al-Hassan, Abdullah,  |e author. 
245 1 2 |a A coincident indicator of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) business cycle /  |c prepared by Abdullah Al-Hassan. 
260 |a [Washington, DC] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2009. 
300 |a 1 online resource (34 pages) :  |b color illustrations 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
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490 1 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/09/73 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 33-34). 
588 0 |a Print version record. 
520 |a This paper constructs a coincident indicator for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) area business cycle. The resulting coincident indicator provides a reliable measure of the GCC business cycle; over the last decade, the GCC coincident index and the real GDP growth have moved closely together. Since the indicator is constructed using a small number of common factors, the strong correlation between the indicator and real GDP growth points to a high degree of commonality across GCC economies. The timing and direction of movements in macroeconomic variables are characterized with respect to the c. 
505 0 |a I. Introduction; II. Methodology; A. Generalized Dynamic Factor Model; B. Estimating Common Components by a One-Sided Filter; Figures; 1. Average Dynamic Eigenvalues Over Cross-Sectional Units; 2. Percentage of Variance Explained; III. Building a GCC Area Database; IV. A Coincident Indicator for the GCC Business Cycle; A. Definition of the Coincident Indicator Properties; 3. Spectral Density Functions of All Eigenvalues; 4. Average of Spectral Density Functions; B. Properties of the Coincident Indicator; C. The Construction of a Coincident Indicator 
505 8 |a 5. The GCC Coincident Indicator and the GCC Area GDP Growth Rate6. The GCC Coincident Indicator and the Common Component of National GDP; 7. The GCC Coincident Indicator and the Common Component of National GDP; V. Degree of Commonality and Cyclical Behavior of the Variables; A. Degree of Commonality; B. Business Cycle: Stylized Facts; Tables; 1. The Direction and Timing of Variables Against the Coincident Indicator; VI. Observed Economic Variables and Latent Factors; VII. Conclusion; 2. Testing the Observed Macroeconomic Data Against the Latent Factors; Appendix; I: Data Set; Appendix Tables 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
610 2 0 |a Gulf Cooperation Council. 
610 2 7 |a Gulf Cooperation Council  |2 fast 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Monetary and Capital Markets Department. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Al-Hassan, Abdullah.  |t Coincident indicator of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) business cycle.  |d [Washington, DC] : International Monetary Fund (IMF), ©2009  |w (OCoLC)547193199 
830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/09/73. 
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