Fool me twice : intelligence failure and mass casualty terrorism /
Evaluates whether surprise and intelligence failure leading to mass casualty terrorism are inevitable. This book features a study that explores the extent to which four factors - failures of public policy leadership, analytical challenges, organizational obstacles, and inherent problems of warning i...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autor principal: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Leiden ; Boston :
Martinus Nijhoff,
©2007.
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Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Dedication
- Table of Contents
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- About the Author
- List of Abbreviations
- Chapter 1
- Introduction
- A. Key Concepts: Strategic Surprise and Intelligence Failure
- 1. Strategic Surprise
- 2. Intelligence Failure
- B. The "New Terrorism"
- 1. Qualitative and Quantitative Changes in the Terrorist Threat
- 2. The Challenge to Government
- C. Sources of Intelligence Failure
- 1. Leadership and Policy Failures
- 2. Organizational and Bureaucratic Issues
- 3. Problems with Warning Information
- 4. Analytical Challenges
- D. Understanding Mass Casualty Terrorism, 1993-2001
- Chapter 2
- February 26, 1993: The World Trade Center
- A. Introduction
- 1. The Streets of New York
- 2. The First Big Surprise
- B. Leadership Failures
- 1. Psychology, Perception and the Threat Environment
- 2. Setting Priorities for Intelligence Collection
- 3. Failures of Public Policy Leadership
- C. Organizational Obstacles
- 1. Obstacle #1: FBI Culture and Confidential Informants
- 2. Obstacle #2: Federal-State Coordination
- 3. Obstacle #3: FBI-CIA TurfWars
- 4. Obstacle #4: FBI Investigations vs. Intelligence
- 5. Obstacle #5: Executive and Legislative Restrictions
- D. Threat and Warning Information
- 1. Threat Indicators-Hiding in Plain Sight
- 2. Warning Indicators-Signals vs. Noise
- 3. Missed Opportunities
- E. Analytical Challenges
- F. The First Avoidable Surprise?
- G. Conclusion
- Chapter 3
- April; 19, 1995: Oklahoma City
- A. Introduction
- 1. What Was the Nature of the Surprise?
- B. Leadership Failures
- 1. Psychology, Perception, and the Threat Environment
- 2. The Perceived Threat Environment
- 3. Failures of Public Policy Leadership
- C. Organizational Obstacles
- 1. The First Amendment and Domestic Surveillance
- 2. Law Enforcement Culture and Attitudes
- 3. Law Enforcement Coordination
- D. Threat and Warning Information
- 1. The Threat from the Far Right
- 2. Specific Warning Indicators
- 3. Possible Indicators from "Others Unknown"
- 4. No Warning
- 5. Failing to Learn
- E. Analytical Challenges
- F. Conclusion
- Chapter 4
- June 25, 1996: Khobar Towers, Saudi Arabia
- A. Introduction
- 1. The U.S. Mission in the Persian Gulf
- 2. The First Signs of Trouble: 1994-95
- 3. Heightened Security at U.S. Installations
- 4. What Was the Nature of the Surprise at Khobar Towers?
- 5. Competing Judgments on the Failure
- B. Leadership Failures
- 1. The Perceived Threat Environment in Saudi Arabia Prior to
- November 1995
- 2. Perceptions of Threat After OPM/SANG
- 3. The Charge of "Mission Creep"
- 4. Efforts to Enhance Force Protection
- 5. Sensitivity to Host Country Concerns
- 6. Failures of Public Policy Leadership
- C. Organizational Obstacles
- 1. For Lack of a SOFA
- 2. Structure of the Military Chain of Command
- 3. Lack of Guidance from DOD
- 4. Money and Manpower
- 5. Conclusions on Organizational Obstacles
- D. Threat and Warning Information
- 1. Threat Indicators in the Kingdom
- 2. Warning Indicators
- 3. Conclusions on Threat and Warning
- E. Analytical Challenges
- 1. The Lack of Human Intelligence
- F. Conclusion
- 1. The Fina.