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Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting.
The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econome...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Otros Autores: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Chicago :
University of Chicago Press,
1993.
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| Colección: | Studies in income and wealth.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting; Contents; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1. Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance; 2. A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience; 3. Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation; 4. A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model; 5. Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?; 6. Further Evidence on Business-Cycle Duration Dependence.