The Science of Conjecture : Evidence and Probability before Pascal /

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How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Frank...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Franklin, James, 1953-
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Baltimore, Maryland : Johns Hopkins University Press, 2015.
Edición:Johns Hopkins paperbacks edition.
Colección:Book collections on Project MUSE.
Temas:
Evidence > History.
Probabilities > History.
Electronic books.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Preface to the 2015 edition
  • Preface
  • The ancient law of proof
  • The medieval law of evidence : suspicion, half-proof, and inquisition
  • Renaissance law
  • The doubting conscience and moral certainty
  • Rhetoric, logic, theory
  • Hard science
  • Soft science and history
  • Philosophy : action and induction
  • Religion : laws of God, laws of nature
  • Aleatory contracts : insurance, annuities, and bets
  • Dice
  • Conclusion
  • Epilogue : the survival of unquantified probability
  • Appendix. Review of work on probability before 1660.

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