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Mathletics : How Gamblers, Managers, and Sports Enthusiasts Use Mathematics in Baseball, Basketball, and Football /

Mathletics is a remarkably entertaining book that shows readers how to use simple mathematics to analyze a range of statistical and probability-related questions in professional baseball, basketball, and football, and in sports gambling. How does professional baseball evaluate hitters? Is a singles...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Winston, Wayne L. (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Princeton : Princeton University Press, 2012.
Colección:Book collections on Project MUSE.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Dedication Page; Table of Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; List of Abbreviations; Part I: Baseball; 1. Baseball's Pythagorean Theorem; 2. Who Had a Better Year, Nomar Garciaparra or Ichiro Suzuki?: The Runs-Created Approach; 3. Evaluating Hitters by Linear Weights; 4. Evaluating Hitters by Monte Carlo Simulation; 5. Evaluating Baseball Pitchers and Forecasting Future Pitcher Performance; 6. Baseball Decision-Making; 7. Evaluating Fielders: Sabermetrics' Last Frontier; 8. Player Win Averages.
  • 9. The Value of Replacement Players: Evaluating Trades and Fair Salary10. Park Factors; 11. Streakiness in Sports; 12. The Platoon Effect; 13. Was Tony Perez a Great Clutch Hitter?; 14. Pitch Count and Pitcher Effectiveness; 15. Would Ted Williams Hit .406 Today?; 16. Was Joe DiMaggio's 56-Game Hitting Streak the Greatest Sports Record of All Time?; 17. Major League Equivalents; Part II: Football; 18. What Makes NFL Teams Win?; 19. Who's Better, Tom Brady or Peyton Manning?; 20. Football States and Values; 21. Football Decision-Making 101.
  • 22. A State and Value Analysis of the 2006 Super Bowl Champion Colts23. If Passing Is Better Than Running, Why Don't Teams Always Pass?; 24. Should We Go for a One-Point or Two-Point Conversion?; 25. To Give Up the Ball Is Better Than to Receive: The Case of College Football Overtime; 26. Why Is the NFL's Overtime System Fatally Flawed?; 27. How Valuable are High Draft Picks in the NFL?; Part III: Basketball; 28. Basketball Statistics 101: The Four-Factor Model; 29. Linear Weights for Evaluating NBA Players; 30. Adjusted+/-Player Ratings; 31. NBA Lineup Analysis.
  • 32. Analyzing Team and Individual Matchups33. NBA Players' Salaries and the Draft; 34. Are NBA Officials Prejudiced?; 35. Are College Basketball Games Fixed?; 36. Did Tim Donaghy Fix NBA Games?; 37. End-Game Basketball Strategy; Part IV: Playing with Money, and Other Topics for Serious Sports Fans; 38. Sports Gambling 101; 39. Freakonomics Meets the Bookmaker; 40. Rating Sports Teams; 41. Which League Has Greater Parity, the NFL or the NBA?; 42. The Ratings Percentage Index (RPI); 43. From Point Ratings to Probabilities; 44. Optimal Money Management: The Kelly Growth Criteria.
  • 45. Ranking Great Sports Collapses46. Can Money Buy Success?; 47. Does Joey Crawford Hate the Spurs?; 48. Does Fatigue Make Cowards of Us All?: The Case of NBA Back-to-Back Games and NFL Bye Weeks; 49. Can the Bowl Championship Series Be Saved?; 50. Comparing Players from Different Eras; 51. Conclusions; Epilogue to the Paperback Edition; Index of Databases; Annotated Bibliography; Index.