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Blindside : How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics /
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed event...
| Otros Autores: | |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Washington, D.C. :
Brookings Institution Press,
2007.
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| Colección: | Book collections on Project MUSE.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
MARC
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| 008 | 071008s2007 dcu o 00 0 eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 9780815729891 | ||
| 020 | |z 9780815729907 | ||
| 020 | |z 0815729898 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)173812431 | ||
| 040 | |a MdBmJHUP |c MdBmJHUP | ||
| 245 | 0 | 0 | |a Blindside : |b How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics / |c Francis Fukuyama, editor. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Washington, D.C. : |b Brookings Institution Press, |c 2007. | |
| 264 | 3 | |a Baltimore, Md. : |b Project MUSE, |c 2015 | |
| 264 | 4 | |c ©2007. | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (198 pages). | ||
| 336 | |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a computer |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a online resource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a "An American Interest Book." | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William B. Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / M. Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Ruth Wedgwood, Anne Applebaum, Bernard-Henri Levy, Josef Joffe, Peter Schwartz, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Notes -- Contributors -- Index. | |
| 520 | |a "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher | ||
| 588 | |a Description based on print version record. | ||
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a 11 September 2001. |2 gtt |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Rampen. |2 gtt |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Voorzorg. |2 gtt |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Voorspellingen. |2 gtt |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Wereldcrises. |2 gtt |
| 650 | 7 | |a International relations. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst00977053 | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Emergency management. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst00908500 | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SOCIAL SCIENCE |x Disasters & Disaster Relief. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a NATURE |x Natural Disasters. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a international relations. |2 aat | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Relations internationales. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a International relations. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Emergency management |z United States. | |
| 651 | 7 | |a United States. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst01204155 | |
| 655 | 7 | |a Electronic books. |2 local | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Fukuyama, Francis, |e editor. | |
| 730 | 0 | |a American interest. | |
| 710 | 2 | |a Project Muse. |e distributor | |
| 830 | 0 | |a Book collections on Project MUSE. | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |z Texto completo |u https://projectmuse.uam.elogim.com/book/29341/ |
| 945 | |a Project MUSE - Custom Collection | ||
| 945 | |a Project MUSE - Archive Complete Supplement III | ||
| 945 | |a Project MUSE - Archive Political Science and Policy Studies Supplement III | ||