Quantifying and controlling catastrophic risks /

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The perception, assessment and management of risk are increasingly important core principles for determining the development of both policy and strategic responses to civil and environmental catastrophes. Whereas these principles were once confined to some areas of activity i.e. financial and insura...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Garrick, B. John
Otros Autores: Christie, Robert F.
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Amsterdam ; Boston : Academic Press/Elsevier, ©2008.
Temas:
Emergency management.
Disasters > Risk assessment.
Risk assessment.
Catastrophes > Évaluation du risque.
Évaluation du risque.
risk assessment.
NATURE > Natural Disasters.
SOCIAL SCIENCE > Disasters & Disaster Relief.
Emergency management
Risk assessment
Electronic books.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • PART 1? WHY RISK ASSESSMENT
  • Chapter 1? Understanding Risk Assessement
  • 1.1The Target Risks
  • 1.2The Quantitative Definition of Risk
  • 1.3The Meaning of Quantification
  • 1.4Form of the Results of a Quantitative Risk Assessment
  • 1.5References
  • Chapter 2? Analytical Foundations of Quantitative Risk Assessment
  • 2.1Quantitative Definition of Risk
  • 2.2The Scenario Approach to Quantitative Risk Assessment
  • 2.3Interpretation of Probability and Likelihood
  • 2.4Quantification of the Scenarios
  • 2.5Assembling the Results
  • 2.6References
  • Chapter 3? The Rational Management of Catastrophic Risks
  • 3.1Benefits of Quantitative Risk Assessment
  • 3.2The Role of the Case Studies
  • 3.3Comparing Quantitative Risks Using the Case Studies
  • 3.4Observations from the Case Studies
  • 3.5Insights from Comparing Results
  • 3.6Where Do We Go from Here?
  • References
  • PART 2? Risk Assessment Case Studies
  • Chapter 3? Risk of a Catastrophic Hurricane in
  • 3.1Summary of the Risk Assessment of a Catastrophic Hurricane Impacting New Orleans, Louisiana
  • 3.2Risk Assessment (Based on Data from 1900 to 2004)
  • 3.3Commentary on the New Orleans Hurricane Risk
  • 3.4Risk Assessment (Based on Data from 1900 to 1950)
  • 3.5References
  • Chapter 4- Risk Assessment Nuclear Power
  • 4.1Calculating Likelihoods
  • 4.2Structuring the Scenarios
  • 4.3Steps That Have Evolved for Integrated Quantitative Risk Assessment
  • 4.4Application to Nuclear Power: A Success Story
  • 4.5An Example of Nuclear Power Plant Quantitative Risk Assessment Results
  • 4.6References
  • PART 3? WORK IN PROGRESS AND FUTURE APPLICATIONS
  • Chapter 5? Terrorist Attack on the National Electrical Grid
  • 5.1Summary of Insights from the Scoping Analysis
  • 5.2A Scoping Analysis to Support a Quantitative Risk Assessment of a Specific Terrorist Attack
  • 5.3References
  • Chapter 6? Abrupt Climate Change
  • 6.1Summary of Insights from the Scoping Analysis
  • 6.2Scoping Analysis to Support a Quantitative Risk Assessment of Abrupt Climate Change
  • 6.3Illustration of Bayesian Analyses for Warming Rates
  • 6.4References
  • 8.7
  • APPENDICES
  • Appendix A? Roots of Quantitative Risk Assessment with an Example
  • A.1Calculating Likelihoods
  • A.2Structuring the Scenarios
  • A.3Steps That Have Evolved for Integrated Quantitative Risk Assessment
  • A.4Application to Nuclear Power: A Success Story
  • A.5An Example of Nuclear Power Plant Quantitative Risk Assessment Results
  • A.6References
  • Appendix B? Quantification of Hurricane Risk Supporting Evidence
  • Appendix C? Quantification of Asteroid Risk Supporting Evidence.

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