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Critical Transitions in Nature and Society /
How do we explain the remarkably abrupt changes that sometimes occur in nature and society--and can we predict why and when they happen? This book offers a comprehensive introduction to critical transitions in complex systems--the radical changes that happen at tipping points when thresholds are pas...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Princeton :
Princeton University Press,
2009.
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| Colección: | Princeton Studies in Complexity Ser.
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover Page
- Half-title Page
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Dedication Page
- Contents
- Acknowledgments
- Chapter 1: Introduction
- 1.1 Coral Reef Collapse
- 1.2 The Birth of the Sahara Desert
- 1.3 Shifts in Societies
- 1.4 Content of this Book
- Part I: Theory Of Critical Transitions
- Chapter 2: Alternative Stable States
- 2.1 The Basics
- 2.2 Some Mechanisms
- 2.3 Synthesis
- Chapter 3: Cycles and Chaos
- 3.1 The Limit Cycle
- 3.2 Complex Dynamics
- 3.3 Basin Boundary Collision
- 3.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 4: Emergent Patterns in Complex Systems
- 4.1 Spatial Patterns
- 4.2 Stability of Complex Interacting Networks
- 4.3 The Adaptive Cycle Theory
- 4.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 5: Implications of Fluctuations, Heterogeneity, and Diversity
- 5.1 Permanent Change
- 5.2 Spatial Heterogeneity and Modularity
- 5.3 Diversity of Players
- 5.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 6: Conclusion: From Theoretical Concepts to Reality
- 6.1 Alternative Stable States
- 6.2 Basins of Attraction
- 6.3 Resilience
- 6.4 Adaptive Capacity
- 6.5 Critical Transitions
- 6.5 Synthesis
- Part II: Case Studies
- Chapter 7: Lakes
- 7.1 Transparency of Shallow Lakes
- 7.2 Dynamics
- 7.3 Other Alternative Stable States
- 7.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 8: Climate
- 8.1 Deep Time Climate Shifts
- 8.2 Glaciation Cycles
- 8.3 Abrupt Climate Change on Shorter Timescales
- 8.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 9: Evolution
- 9.1 Introduction
- 9.2 Early Animal Evolution and the Cambrian Explosion
- 9.3 The End-Permian Extinction
- 9.4 The Angiosperm Radiation
- 9.5 From Dinosaurs to Mammals
- 9.6 Global Warming and the Birth of Primates, Deer, and Horses
- 9.7 In Search of the Big Picture
- 9.8 Synthesis
- Chapter 10: Oceans
- 10.1 Open Ocean Regime Shifts
- 10.2 Coastal Ecosystems
- 10.3 Synthesis
- Chapter 11: Terrestrial Ecosystems
- 11.1 Vegetation-Climate Shifts in Dry Regions
- 11.2 Small-Scale Transitions in Semiarid Vegetation
- 11.3 Boreal Forests and Tundra
- 11.4 The Rise and Fall of Raised Bogs
- 11.5 Species Extinction in Fragmented Landscapes
- 11.6 Epidemics as Critical Transitions
- 11.7 Synthesis
- Chapter 12: Humans
- 12.1 Shifting Cells
- 12.2 Shifting Minds
- 12.3 Behavioral Lock-In
- 12.4 Inertia and Shifts in Group Attitudes
- 12.5 Societies in Crisis
- 12.6 Synthesis
- Chapter 13: Conclusion: Critical Transitions in a Complex World
- Part III: Dealing With Critical Transitions
- Chapter 14: How to Know if Alternative Basins of Attraction Exist
- 14.1 Hints from Field Data
- 14.2 Experimental Evidence
- 14.3 Mechanistic Insight
- 14.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 15: How to Know if a Threshold Is Near
- 15.1 The Theory: Signs of Upcoming Transitions
- 15.2 Precursors of Transitions in Real Systems
- 15.3 Reliablility of the Signals
- 15.4 Synthesis
- Chapter 16: The Winding Road from Science to Policy
- 16.1 Exploiting Nature in the Smartest Way