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Critical Transitions in Nature and Society /

How do we explain the remarkably abrupt changes that sometimes occur in nature and society--and can we predict why and when they happen? This book offers a comprehensive introduction to critical transitions in complex systems--the radical changes that happen at tipping points when thresholds are pas...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Scheffer, Marten (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Princeton : Princeton University Press, 2009.
Colección:Princeton Studies in Complexity Ser.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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505 0 |a Cover Page -- Half-title Page -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication Page -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Chapter 1: Introduction -- 1.1 Coral Reef Collapse -- 1.2 The Birth of the Sahara Desert -- 1.3 Shifts in Societies -- 1.4 Content of this Book -- Part I: Theory Of Critical Transitions -- Chapter 2: Alternative Stable States -- 2.1 The Basics -- 2.2 Some Mechanisms -- 2.3 Synthesis -- Chapter 3: Cycles and Chaos -- 3.1 The Limit Cycle -- 3.2 Complex Dynamics -- 3.3 Basin Boundary Collision -- 3.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 4: Emergent Patterns in Complex Systems 
505 8 |a 4.1 Spatial Patterns -- 4.2 Stability of Complex Interacting Networks -- 4.3 The Adaptive Cycle Theory -- 4.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 5: Implications of Fluctuations, Heterogeneity, and Diversity -- 5.1 Permanent Change -- 5.2 Spatial Heterogeneity and Modularity -- 5.3 Diversity of Players -- 5.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 6: Conclusion: From Theoretical Concepts to Reality -- 6.1 Alternative Stable States -- 6.2 Basins of Attraction -- 6.3 Resilience -- 6.4 Adaptive Capacity -- 6.5 Critical Transitions -- 6.5 Synthesis -- Part II: Case Studies -- Chapter 7: Lakes -- 7.1 Transparency of Shallow Lakes 
505 8 |a 7.2 Dynamics -- 7.3 Other Alternative Stable States -- 7.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 8: Climate -- 8.1 Deep Time Climate Shifts -- 8.2 Glaciation Cycles -- 8.3 Abrupt Climate Change on Shorter Timescales -- 8.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 9: Evolution -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Early Animal Evolution and the Cambrian Explosion -- 9.3 The End-Permian Extinction -- 9.4 The Angiosperm Radiation -- 9.5 From Dinosaurs to Mammals -- 9.6 Global Warming and the Birth of Primates, Deer, and Horses -- 9.7 In Search of the Big Picture -- 9.8 Synthesis -- Chapter 10: Oceans -- 10.1 Open Ocean Regime Shifts 
505 8 |a 10.2 Coastal Ecosystems -- 10.3 Synthesis -- Chapter 11: Terrestrial Ecosystems -- 11.1 Vegetation-Climate Shifts in Dry Regions -- 11.2 Small-Scale Transitions in Semiarid Vegetation -- 11.3 Boreal Forests and Tundra -- 11.4 The Rise and Fall of Raised Bogs -- 11.5 Species Extinction in Fragmented Landscapes -- 11.6 Epidemics as Critical Transitions -- 11.7 Synthesis -- Chapter 12: Humans -- 12.1 Shifting Cells -- 12.2 Shifting Minds -- 12.3 Behavioral Lock-In -- 12.4 Inertia and Shifts in Group Attitudes -- 12.5 Societies in Crisis -- 12.6 Synthesis 
505 8 |a Chapter 13: Conclusion: Critical Transitions in a Complex World -- Part III: Dealing With Critical Transitions -- Chapter 14: How to Know if Alternative Basins of Attraction Exist -- 14.1 Hints from Field Data -- 14.2 Experimental Evidence -- 14.3 Mechanistic Insight -- 14.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 15: How to Know if a Threshold Is Near -- 15.1 The Theory: Signs of Upcoming Transitions -- 15.2 Precursors of Transitions in Real Systems -- 15.3 Reliablility of the Signals -- 15.4 Synthesis -- Chapter 16: The Winding Road from Science to Policy -- 16.1 Exploiting Nature in the Smartest Way 
500 |a 16.2 Barriers to Good Solutions. 
520 |a How do we explain the remarkably abrupt changes that sometimes occur in nature and society--and can we predict why and when they happen? This book offers a comprehensive introduction to critical transitions in complex systems--the radical changes that happen at tipping points when thresholds are passed. Marten Scheffer accessibly describes the dynamical systems theory behind critical transitions, covering catastrophe theory, bifurcations, chaos, and more. He gives examples of critical transitions in lakes, oceans, terrestrial ecosystems, climate, evolution, and human societies. And he demonstrates how to deal with these transitions, offering practical guidance on how to predict tipping points, how to prevent "bad" transitions, and how to promote critical transitions that work for us and not against us. Scheffer shows the time is ripe for understanding and managing critical transitions in the vast and complex systems in which we live. This book can also serve as a textbook and includes a detailed appendix with equations 
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650 0 |a Threshold logic. 
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