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Cognitive bias in intelligence analysis : testing the analysis of competing hypotheses method /
This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH).
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Edinburgh :
Edinburgh University Press,
[2020]
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| Colección: | Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare.
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
MARC
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| 003 | OCoLC | ||
| 005 | 20231005004200.0 | ||
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| 007 | cr cnu---unuuu | ||
| 008 | 201013s2020 stka ob 001 0 eng d | ||
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| 049 | |a UAMI | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Whitesmith, Martha, |e author. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Cognitive bias in intelligence analysis : |b testing the analysis of competing hypotheses method / |c Martha Whitesmith. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Edinburgh : |b Edinburgh University Press, |c [2020] | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource | ||
| 336 | |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a computer |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a online resource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare | |
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 588 | 0 | |a Online resource; title from digital title page (viewed on October 21, 2020). | |
| 520 | |a This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Intro -- List of Figures and Tables -- Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Part 1 Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: A Theoretical Perspective -- 1. Intelligence and Belief Acquisition -- A Taxonomy of Intelligence -- Intelligence as an Epistemological Act -- How Can Knowledge Be Acquired? -- Epistemological Implications for Intelligence -- 2. The Efficacy of ACH in Establishing Epistemic Justification and Mitigating Cognitive Bias -- The ACH Method -- The Ability of ACH to Reduce Epistemic Complexity -- Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: A Theoretical Perspective | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Part 2 Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: An Empirical Perspective -- 3. The Efficacy of ACH in Mitigating Serial Position Effects and Confirmation Bias in an Intelligence Analysis Scenario -- Procedure -- Results -- Discussion and Conclusions -- 4 Predicting Serial Position Effects -- Experimental Conditions -- Results and Discussion -- An Examination of Previous Serial Position Effects Prediction Models -- The Impact of Analytical Conditions on Serial Position Effects -- 5 Predicting Confirmation Bias -- Additional Experimental Conditions -- Results and Discussion | |
| 505 | 8 | |a An Examination of Previous Confirmation Bias Prediction Models -- The Impact of Analytical Conditions on Confirmation Bias -- Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: An Empirical Perspective -- 6 Reducing the Risk of Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis -- Recommendations for Future Research and Best Practice for Intelligence Analysis -- Appendix -- Bibliography -- Index | |
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR Evidence Based Acquisitions | ||
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR Demand Driven Acquisitions (DDA) | ||
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR All Purchased | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Intelligence service |x Methodology. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Judgment. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Cognitive science. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Decision making. | |
| 650 | 2 | |a Judgment | |
| 650 | 2 | |a Decision Making | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Service des renseignements |x Méthodologie. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Jugement. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Sciences cognitives. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Prise de décision. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a decision making. |2 aat | |
| 650 | 7 | |a POLITICAL SCIENCE |x Security (National & International) |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Cognitive science. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst00866547 | |
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| 650 | 7 | |a Judgment. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst00984572 | |
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| 830 | 0 | |a Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare. | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://jstor.uam.elogim.com/stable/10.3366/j.ctv182jrtn |z Texto completo |
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