Lost in a Gallup : polling failure in U.S. presidential elections /

"Donald Trump's unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election brought sweeping criticism of election polls and poll-based statistical forecasts, which had signaled that Hillary Clinton would win the White House. Surprise ran deep in 2016, but it was not unprecedented. Lost in a...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Campbell, W. Joseph (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Oakland, California : University of California Press, [2020]
Temas:
Presidents > United States > Election > History.
Elections > United States > History.
Voting > United States > History.
Press and politics > United States > History.
Political campaigns > United States > History.
Presidential candidates > United States.
Vote > États-Unis > Histoire.
HISTORY / United States / General
Elections
Political campaigns
Politics and government
Presidential candidates
Presidents > Election
Press and politics
Voting
United States > Politics and government.
États-Unis > Politique et gouvernement.
United States
2016 presidential election.
American history.
George Gallup.
campaign narratives.
comprehensive study.
controversy.
data.
election day.
faulty.
journalism.
media failure.
politics.
president.
public polling.
skepticism.
surveys.
trust.
History
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Introduction : of pollsters, journalists, and presidential elections
  • Of poll-bashing journalists and the 'Babe Ruth' of survey research
  • 'A time of polls gone mad' : the literary digest debacle of 1936
  • 'The defeat of the pollsters' : the epic fail of 1948
  • A tie 'would suit them fine' : the 1952 landslide pollsters did not foresee
  • The 'close race that never happened' : miscalling the 1980 election
  • 'Television's version of "Dewey defeats Truman" ' : the trifecta of 2000
  • 'President Kerry' : exit polls misfire in 2004
  • 'Gallup vs. the world' : pointing the wrong way in 2012
  • 'The night that wasn't supposed to happen' : the shock election of 2016
  • Conclusion : will it happen again?

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