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A mathematical theory of evidence /

Both in science and in practical affairs we reason by combining facts only inconclusively supported by evidence. Building on an abstract understanding of this process of combination, this book constructs a new theory of epistemic probability. The theory draws on the work of A. P. Dempster but diverg...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Shafer, Glenn, 1946- (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, [1976]
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Shafer, Glenn,  |d 1946-  |e author  |1 http://viaf.org/viaf/84495868 
245 1 2 |a A mathematical theory of evidence /  |c Glenn Shafer. 
264 1 |a Princeton, N.J. :  |b Princeton University Press,  |c [1976] 
264 4 |c copyright 1976 
300 |a 1 online resource (xiii, 297 pages) 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent  |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/contentTypes/txt 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia  |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/mediaTypes/c 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier  |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/carriers/cr 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (P. 287-291) and index. 
518 |a 96 06 06. 
505 0 0 |t Frontmatter --  |t FOREWORD --  |t PREFACE --  |t CONTENTS --  |t CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION --  |t CHAPTER 2. DEGREES OF BELIEF --  |t CHAPTER 3. DEMPSTER'S RULE OF COMBINATION --  |t CHAPTER 4. SIMPLE AND SEPARABLE SUPPORT FUNCTIONS --  |t CHAPTER 5. THE WEIGHTS OF EVIDENCE --  |t CHAPTER 6. COMPATIBLE FRAMES OF DISCERNMENT --  |t CHAPTER 7. SUPPORT FUNCTIONS --  |t CHAPTER 8. THE DISCERNMENT OF EVIDENCE --  |t CHAPTER 9. QUASI SUPPORT FUNCTIONS --  |t CHAPTER 10. CONSONANCE --  |t CHAPTER 11. STATISTICAL EVIDENCE --  |t CHAPTER 12. THE DUAL NATURE OF PROBABLE REASONING --  |t BIBLIOGRAPHY --  |t INDEX 
520 |a Both in science and in practical affairs we reason by combining facts only inconclusively supported by evidence. Building on an abstract understanding of this process of combination, this book constructs a new theory of epistemic probability. The theory draws on the work of A. P. Dempster but diverges from Depster's viewpoint by identifying his "lower probabilities" as epistemic probabilities and taking his rule for combining "upper and lower probabilities" as fundamental. The book opens with a critique of the well-known Bayesian theory of epistemic probability. It then proceeds to develop an alternative to the additive set functions and the rule of conditioning of the Bayesian theory: set functions that need only be what Choquet called "monotone of order of infinity." and Dempster's rule for combining such set functions. This rule, together with the idea of "weights of evidence," leads to both an extensive new theory and a better understanding of the Bayesian theory. The book concludes with a brief treatment of statistical inference and a discussion of the limitations of epistemic probability. Appendices contain mathematical proofs, which are relatively elementary and seldom depend on mathematics more advanced that the binomial theorem. 
590 |a JSTOR  |b Books at JSTOR Demand Driven Acquisitions (DDA) 
590 |a JSTOR  |b Books at JSTOR Evidence Based Acquisitions 
590 |a JSTOR  |b Books at JSTOR All Purchased 
650 0 |a Evidence. 
650 0 |a Mathematical statistics. 
650 0 |a Probabilities. 
650 6 |a Évidence. 
650 6 |a Probabilités. 
650 7 |a probability.  |2 aat 
650 7 |a MATHEMATICS / History & Philosophy  |2 bisacsh 
650 7 |a Probabilities  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Mathematical statistics  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Evidence  |2 fast 
653 |a Bayesian belief functions. 
653 |a Granger, Thomas. 
653 |a Hacking, Ian. 
653 |a Jeffrey, Richard. 
653 |a Keynes, John Maynard. 
653 |a assessment of evidence. 
653 |a chance density. 
653 |a confidence sets. 
653 |a decision theory. 
653 |a degree of belief. 
653 |a dissonance. 
653 |a epistemology. 
653 |a exponential function. 
653 |a judgment and evidence. 
653 |a likelihood. 
653 |a linear models. 
653 |a orthogonal sum. 
653 |a plausibility. 
653 |a proposition. 
653 |a quasi support function. 
653 |a scientific hypotheses. 
653 |a statistical estimation. 
653 |a test statistic. 
653 |a upper probability. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Shafer, Glenn  |t A Mathematical Theory of Evidence  |d Princeton : Princeton University Press,c1976  |z 9780691081755 
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