Demographic forecasting /

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Demographic Forecasting introduces new statistical tools that can greatly improve forecasts of population death rates. Mortality forecasting is used in a wide variety of academic fields, and for policymaking in global health, social security and retirement planning, and other areas. Federico Girosi...

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Bibliographic Details
Call Number:Libro Electrónico
Main Author: Girosi, Federico
Other Authors: King, Gary, 1958-
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Princeton : Princeton University Press, [2008]
Subjects:
Mortality > Forecasting > Methodology.
Mortality > Statistical methods.
Demography.
Mortality.
Forecasting > methods
Mortality
Models, Statistical
Demography
Mortalité > Prévision > Méthodologie.
Mortalité > Méthodes statistiques.
Démographie.
Mortalité.
demography.
mortality.
SOCIAL SCIENCE > Demography.
SOCIAL SCIENCE > Statistics.
Online Access:Texto completo
Table of Contents:
  • Qualitative view
  • Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates
  • Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions
  • Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains
  • Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation
  • B. Mathematical refresher
  • C. Improper normal priors
  • D. Discretization of the derivative operator
  • E. Smoothness over graphs.

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