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|a 1228589355
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|a 9781400889310
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|a UAMI
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|a Turchin, Peter,
|d 1957-
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|a Historical dynamics :
|b why states rise and fall /
|c Peter Turchin.
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|a Princeton :
|b Princeton University Press,
|c [2003]
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|a 1 online resource (xii, 245 pages) :
|b illustrations, maps
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
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|a computer
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|2 rdamedia
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|a online resource
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|a Princeton studies in complexity
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|a Includes bibliographical references (pages 226-242) and index.
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|a Statement of the problem -- Geopolitics -- Collective solidarity -- The metaethnic frontier theory -- An empirical test of the metaethnic frontier theory -- Ethnokinetics -- The demographic-structural theory -- Secular cycles in population numbers -- Case studies -- Mathematical appendix -- Data summaries for the test of the metaethnic frontier theory.
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|a "Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics - why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract - this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history." "Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics."--Jacket.
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|a Print version record.
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|a JSTOR
|b Books at JSTOR Demand Driven Acquisitions (DDA)
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|a JSTOR
|b Books at JSTOR Evidence Based Acquisitions
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|a JSTOR
|b Books at JSTOR All Purchased
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650 |
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|a Historiometry.
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|a History
|x Mathematical models.
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|a Historiométrie.
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|a Histoire
|x Modèles mathématiques.
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|a HISTORY
|x Historiography.
|2 bisacsh
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650 |
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|a Historiometry.
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst00958234
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650 |
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|a History
|x Mathematical models.
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst00958258
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|i Print version:
|a Turchin, Peter, 1957-
|t Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall.
|d Princeton : Princeton University Press, ©2003
|w (DLC) 2003110656
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830 |
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|a Princeton studies in complexity.
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|u https://jstor.uam.elogim.com/stable/10.2307/j.ctt1wf4d45
|z Texto completo
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|a Project MUSE
|b MUSE
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|a 92
|b IZTAP
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