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To dare more boldly : the audacious story of political risk /
Ten lessons from history on the dos and don'ts of analyzing political riskOur baffling new multipolar world grows ever more complex, desperately calling for new ways of thinking, particularly when it comes to political risk. To Dare More Boldly provides those ways, telling the story of the rise...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Princeton, New Jersey :
Princeton University Press,
[2018]
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Title; Copyright; Dedication; CONTENTS; CHAPTER ONE: 480 BC: Introduction-The First Political Risk Analysts: The Pythia of Delphi; The Pythia as the World's First Political Risk Consultant; The Pythia Masters the Persians; The Merits of History; A Potted History of the Modern Political Risk Business; Hans Morgenthau, Realism, and Modern Geopolitical Risk; Brian Wilson and Greek Attributes; Back to the Past of the Pythia's Lair to Glean the Future of Geopolitical Risk Analysis; CHAPTER TWO: 31 AD: We Are the Risk; The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire.
- Edward Gibbon and How Political Risk Analysts Think; The Rise of Sejanus and the Fall of the Roman Empire; An Avoidable Tragedy in France and the Root Cause of Europe's Decline; Europe's Ticking Demographic Time Bomb; Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg and Germany's Distrust of Success; The Sudden End of Europe's Sunny Way of Life; The Political Naïveté of Lying about Europe's Gloomy Future; Rome Dies from Within; CHAPTER THREE: 1192 AD: Gaming Out Lunatics; The Assassins and the Old Man of the Mountain; The Old Man of the Mountain Demonstrates What Power Actually Is.
- Rashid ad-Din Sinan and the Benefits of Being Seen as Crazy; The Elusive Madness of Charles Manson; The Method of ISIS's Madness; Sinan Bests Saladin; Sinan Bests the Crusaders; CHAPTER FOUR: 1503 AD: Gaming Out Chess Players; Machiavelli, Cesare Borgia, and Pope Julius II; Machiavelli Attempts a Comeback; Machiavelli Backs the Wrong Horse; Cesare Borgia's Overrated Bond Villain Luster; Washington and Hamilton as Chess Players; Washington's Farewell Address as Geopolitical Strategy; Julius Runs Rings around Borgia; The Prince with Julius as Hero.
- The Analytical Riches That Come from Spotting Chess Players; CHAPTER FIVE: 1776: Everything to Play For; John Adams and Game-Changers; Adams Sees the Future, Jefferson Buys Gloves; The Political Miracle of the Fourth of July; Churchill Rejoices over Pearl Harbor; Hitler's Fatal Error; The Declaration of Independence as Improbable Game-Changer; The Limits to Even Adams's Sagacity; CHAPTER SIX: 1797: Getting to Goldilocks; Napoleon and the Venetian Republic; The Dangers of Analytical Overreaction; Venice's Slow Castration; Manin Goes Out with a Whimper.
- Napoleon's France as a Country on Military Steroids; Bonaparte's Predictable Fall as a Leader of a Revolutionary Power; The Benefits of Balance; CHAPTER SEVEN: 1863: The Losing Gambler Syndrome; Robert E. Lee at Gettysburg; Why Casino Magnates Get Rich: Gettysburg and Vietnam; Joshua Lawrence Chamberlain Saves the Union; The United States Tragically Doubles Down in Vietnam; Lee Fatally Goes for Broke with Pickett's Charge; The Losing Gambler Syndrome as Beguiling Analytical Trap; CHAPTER EIGHT: 1895: Knowing Your Country's Place in the World; Lord Salisbury Saves the British Empire.