Expert political judgment : how good is it? How can we know? /
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find th...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autor principal: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Princeton :
Princeton University Press,
2017.
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Edición: | New edition. |
Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Acknowledgments
- Preface
- Preface to the 2017 Edition
- CHAPTER 1. Quantifying the Unquantifiable
- CHAPTER 2. The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism
- CHAPTER 3. Knowing the Limits of One's Knowledge
- CHAPTER 4. Honoring Reputational Bets
- CHAPTER 5. Contemplating Counterfactuals
- CHAPTER 6. The Hedgehogs Strike Back
- CHAPTER 7. Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness?
- CHAPTER 8. Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability
- Methodological Appendix
- Technical Appendix
- Index