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Expert political judgment : how good is it? How can we know? /

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Tetlock, Philip E. (Philip Eyrikson), 1954- (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Princeton : Princeton University Press, 2017.
Edición:New edition.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Frontmatter
  • Contents
  • Acknowledgments
  • Preface
  • Preface to the 2017 Edition
  • CHAPTER 1. Quantifying the Unquantifiable
  • CHAPTER 2. The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism
  • CHAPTER 3. Knowing the Limits of One's Knowledge
  • CHAPTER 4. Honoring Reputational Bets
  • CHAPTER 5. Contemplating Counterfactuals
  • CHAPTER 6. The Hedgehogs Strike Back
  • CHAPTER 7. Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness?
  • CHAPTER 8. Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability
  • Methodological Appendix
  • Technical Appendix
  • Index