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From negative to positive stability : how the Syrian refugee crisis can improve Jordan's outlook /

"As of late 2014, many American and Jordanian experts believe Jordan to be stable. Yet while Jordan is stable, it faces a range of existing and emerging challenges. These include chronic unemployment, sporadic political unrest, budget deficits, a water shortage, and geographically isolated yet...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Connable, Ben (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND, [2015]
Colección:Research report (Rand Corporation) ; RR-1069-MCIA.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Connable, Ben,  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a From negative to positive stability :  |b how the Syrian refugee crisis can improve Jordan's outlook /  |c by Ben Connable. 
246 3 |a How the Syrian refugee crisis can improve Jordan's outlook 
264 1 |a Santa Monica, Calif. :  |b RAND,  |c [2015] 
264 4 |c ©2015 
300 |a 1 online resource (xi, 60 pages) :  |b color maps. 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
490 1 |a Research Report ;  |v RR-1069-MCIA 
500 |a "November 30, 2015"--Table of contents page. 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 39-60). 
505 0 0 |g Ch. 1.  |t Introduction to the status of Syrian refugees as of late 2014 --  |g ch. 2.  |t Assessment of stability and strategic challenges: late 2014 --  |g ch. 3.  |t Economic factors and forecasted impact --  |g ch. 4.  |t Social factors and forecasted impact --  |g ch. 5.  |t Security assessment and forecasted impact --  |g ch. 6.  |t Conclusion, summary forecast, and black swan warnings. 
505 0 0 |t Preface --  |t Figures and Table --  |t Summary --  |t Chapter One: Introduction to the Status of Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014:  |g Geographic Orientation and Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014 --  |g Syrian Refugees in Jordan: Late 2014 --  |g Methodology --  |g Organization of This Report --  |t Chapter Two: Assessment of Stability and Strategic Challenges: Late 2014:  |g Jordan's Stability as of Late 2014 --  |g Security from External and Internal Threats --  |g Political Turmoil and the Impact of the Arab Spring --  |g Water Shortages Contribute to Economic and Social Unease --  |g Economic and Financial Dependencies --  |g Existing Refugee and Nonnational Worker Populations --  |g Summary of Stability Issues as of Late 2014 --  |t Chapter Three: Economic Factors and Forecasted Impact:  |g Current Economic Status and Economic Integration of Syrian Refugees --  |g Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Economic Stability --  |t Chapter Four: Social Factors and Forecasted Impact:  |g Assessing Late-2014 Social Integration and Social Impacts of Syrian Refugees --  |g Forecast: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Social Stability --  |t Chapter Five: Security Assessment and Forecasted Impact:  |g Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordanian Security as of Late 2014 --  |g Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Security --  |t Chapter Six: Conclusion, Summary Forecast, and Black Swan Warnings:  |g Black Swans --  |t Abbreviations --  |t Bibliography. 
520 |a "As of late 2014, many American and Jordanian experts believe Jordan to be stable. Yet while Jordan is stable, it faces a range of existing and emerging challenges. These include chronic unemployment, sporadic political unrest, budget deficits, a water shortage, and geographically isolated yet troubling internal security concerns. The Syrian refugee crisis both exacerbates these challenges and offers opportunities to the government of Jordan. If the Syrian refugees remain relatively content and continue to assimilate into northern and central Jordan, they might directly benefit the Jordanian economy by stimulating growth. Donors and lenders have increased their support to Jordan, in turn offering the government an opportunity to improve the lives of both Syrian refugees and Jordanian citizens. Most important, Jordan benefits from what one expert terms negative stability: Jordanian citizens might be dissatisfied with many aspects of their government, but the chaos in neighboring states has thus far dissuaded Jordanians from pursuing civil or violent actions that might destabilize Jordan. Jordanians do not want their country to look like Syria, Iraq, or Egypt. Jordan is likely to undergo further and perhaps unforeseen challenges in 2015 and 2016, but it has the opportunity to alleviate many of its enduring challenges. If Jordan wisely invests forthcoming international refugee support, it has the opportunity to shift popular outlook from negative to positive--and more optimistic--stability. This report's analytic forecasts should help the United States determine how to support Jordan as it faces the Syrian refugee crisis"--Publisher's description. 
588 0 |a Online resource; title from PDF title page (RAND, viewed December 2, 2015). 
590 |a JSTOR  |b Books at JSTOR All Purchased 
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650 0 |a Refugees  |z Syria. 
651 0 |a Syria  |x History  |y Civil War, 2011- 
650 0 |a Forced migration  |z Syria. 
650 0 |a Humanitarian assistance  |z Jordan. 
650 0 |a National security  |z Jordan  |y 21st century. 
650 0 |a International relief  |z Jordan. 
650 0 |a Emigration and immigration law  |z Jordan. 
651 0 |a Jordan  |x Economic conditions  |y 21st century. 
651 0 |a Jordan  |x Social conditions  |y 21st century. 
650 6 |a Réfugiés  |z Syrie. 
651 6 |a Syrie  |x Histoire  |y 2011- (Guerre civile) 
650 6 |a Aide humanitaire  |z Jordanie. 
650 6 |a Secours international  |z Jordanie. 
650 7 |a POLITICAL SCIENCE  |x Human Rights.  |2 bisacsh 
650 7 |a Economic history.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00901974 
650 7 |a Emigration and immigration law.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00908736 
650 7 |a Forced migration.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00931606 
650 7 |a Humanitarian assistance.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00963553 
650 7 |a International relief.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00977110 
650 7 |a National security.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01033711 
650 7 |a Refugees.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01092797 
650 7 |a Social conditions.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01919811 
651 7 |a Jordan.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01205669 
651 7 |a Syria.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01208757 
647 7 |a Syrian Civil War  |c (Syria :  |d 2011-)  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01907471 
648 7 |a 2000-2099  |2 fast 
655 7 |a History.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01411628 
710 2 |a Rand Corporation,  |e issuing body. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Connable, Ben.  |t From negative to positive stability.  |d Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND Corporation, [2015]  |z 0833090879  |w (OCoLC)930447405 
830 0 |a Research report (Rand Corporation) ;  |v RR-1069-MCIA. 
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