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140811s2014 paua ob 000 0 eng d |
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|a 016795665
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|a 884588252
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|a 9780812291100
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|a 10.9783/9780812291100
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|a n-us---
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|a HG2040.15
|b .V348 2014
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|a POL023000
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|a UAMI
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|a Vague, Richard.
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|a The next economic disaster :
|b why it's coming and how to avoid it /
|c Richard Vague.
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|a Philadelphia, Pennsylvania :
|b University of Pennsylvania Press,
|c ©2014.
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|a 1 online resource (vii, 91 pages) :
|b illustrations
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
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|a computer
|b c
|2 rdamedia
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|a online resource
|b cr
|2 rdacarrier
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|a text file
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|b PDF
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|a EBL-Schweitzer
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|a Includes bibliographical references (pages 89-92).
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|t Preface --
|t Boom and crisis ;
|t The centrality of private debt --
|t Tripwire : rapid private debt growth --
|t The long-term trend to higher debt --
|t Testing the thesis on all major economies --
|t Stages of crisis --
|t China and Japan --
|t The deleveraging challenge ;
|t Deleveraging in the United States and Japan --
|t Crisis prevention and recovery --
|t Restoring growth --
|t Recommendations for China and beyond --
|t The long-term view ;
|t The bigger picture : our future debt challenge --
|t A reform agenda --
|t Conclusion.
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|a Current debates about economic crises typically focus on the role that public debt and debt-fueled public spending play in economic growth. This illuminating and provocative work shows that it is the rapid expansion of private rather than public debt that constrains growth and sparks economic calamities like the financial crisis of 2008. Relying on the findings of a team of economists, credit expert Richard Vague argues that the Great Depression of the 1930s, the economic collapse of the past decade, and many other sharp downturns around the world were all preceded by a spike in privately held debt. Vague presents an algorithm for predicting crises and argues that China may soon face disaster. Since American debt levels have not declined significantly since 2008, Vague believes that economic growth in the United States will suffer unless banks embrace a policy of debt restructuring. All informed citizens, but especially those interested in economic policy and history, will want to contend with Vague's distressing arguments and evidence.
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|a In English.
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|a Print version record.
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|a JSTOR
|b Books at JSTOR Evidence Based Acquisitions
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|a JSTOR
|b Books at JSTOR Demand Driven Acquisitions (DDA)
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|a JSTOR
|b Books at JSTOR All Purchased
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|a Economic forecasting.
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|a Financial crises.
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|a Investments.
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|a Debt.
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|a Loans.
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|a United States
|x Economic conditions
|y 2009-
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|a Investments
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|a Prévision économique.
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|a Investissements.
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|a Dettes.
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|a Prêts.
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|a États-Unis
|x Conditions économiques
|y 2009-
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|a POLITICAL SCIENCE
|x Political Economy.
|2 bisacsh
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|a Loans.
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|a Investments.
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|a Financial crises.
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|a Economic history.
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|a Economic forecasting.
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|a Debt.
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|a Mortgage loans.
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|a United States.
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst01204155
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|a Since 2009
|2 fast
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|i Print version:
|z 9780812247046
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|u https://jstor.uam.elogim.com/stable/10.2307/j.ctt7zw74s
|z Texto completo
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