Addressing climate change in local water agency plans : demonstrating a simplified robust decision making approach in the California Sierra foothills /

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This report describes an approach for planning under deep uncertainty, Robust Decision Making (RDM), and demonstrates its use by the El Dorado Irrigation District (EID). Using RDM, the authors and EID tested the robustness of current long-term water management plans and more robust alternatives acro...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Groves, David G.
Otros Autores: Bloom, Evan (Policy analyst), Johnson, David R., Yates, David, Mehta, Vishal
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Santa Monica : RAND Corporation, 2013.
Temas:
Climatic changes.
Decision making.
Uncertainty.
Water resources development.
Water-supply > Management.
Climat > Changements.
Prise de décision.
Incertitude.
Ressources en eau > Exploitation.
Eau > Approvisionnement > Gestion.
climate change.
decision making.
water resources development.
POLITICAL SCIENCE > Political Freedom.
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS > Real Estate > General.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Introduction
  • An Approach for Addressing Climate Change by Local Water Agencies
  • Application to Local Water Agency Planning
  • Results
  • Discussion.
  • Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; About This Document; The RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Introduction; Use of Robust Decision Making to Evaluate Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Strategies; Results; How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under a Wide Range of Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; Under What Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs and How Can They Inform Decisions?; Conclusion; Acknowledgments.
  • Abbreviations1. Introduction; 2. An Approach for Addressing Climate Change by Local Water Agencies; 3. Application to Local Water Agency Planning; El Dorado Irrigation District and Its Long-Term Planning; EID Overview; EID Management Challenges and Opportunities; EID Master Plan; Incorporating Climate and Other Uncertainty into EID's Planning; XLRM Framework for Structuring Uncertainty Analysis; Relationships (R); Uncertainties (X); Management Options and Strategies (L); Performance Metrics (M); Experimental Design; Interactive Visualizations; 4. Results.
  • How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Standard Planning Assumptions?How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Alternative but Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; To Which Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs Among EID's Strategies for Reducing Vulnerability?; How Can Expectations of the Future Inform EID Planning Decisions?; 5. Discussion; References.

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