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What's luck got to do with it? : the history, mathematics, and psychology behind the gambler's illusion /

Why do so many gamblers risk it all when they know the odds of winning are against them? Why do they believe dice are "hot" in a winning streak? Why do we expect heads on a coin toss after several flips have turned up tails? What's Luck Got to Do with It? takes a lively and eye-openin...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Mazur, Joseph
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, ©2010.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • The history
  • Pits, pebbles, and bones : rolling to discover fate
  • The professionals : luck becomes measurable
  • From coffeehouses to casinos : gaming becomes big business
  • There's no stopping it now : from bans to bookies
  • Betting with trillions : the 2008 world economic calamity
  • The mathematics
  • Who's got a royal flush? : one deal as likely as another
  • The behavior of a coin : making predictions with probability
  • Someone has to win : betting against expectation
  • A truly astonishing result : the weak law of large numbers
  • The skill/luck spectrum : even great talent needs some good fortune
  • The analysis
  • Let it ride : the house money effect
  • Knowing when to quit : psychomanaging risk
  • The theories : what makes a gambler?
  • Hot hands : expecting long runs of the same outcome
  • Luck : the dicey illusion.