Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics /
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed event...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Otros Autores: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Washington, D.C. :
Brookings Institution Press,
©2007.
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Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Sumario: | "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher |
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Notas: | "An American Interest Book." |
Descripción Física: | 1 online resource (vi, 198 pages) |
Bibliografía: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 173-180) and index. |
ISBN: | 9780815729891 0815729898 1281029637 9781281029638 |