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Learning and expectations in macroeconomics /

"A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity. Inflation, asset prices, exchange rates, investment, and consumption are just some of the economic variables that are largely explained by...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Evans, George W., 1949- (Autor), Honkapohja, Seppo, 1951- (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, [2001]
Colección:Frontiers of economic research.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Evans, George W.,  |d 1949-  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a Learning and expectations in macroeconomics /  |c George W. Evans and Seppo Honkapohja. 
264 1 |a Princeton, N.J. :  |b Princeton University Press,  |c [2001] 
264 4 |c ©2001 
300 |a 1 online resource (xviii, 421 pages) :  |b illustrations 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
490 1 |a Frontiers of economic research 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references and indexes. 
505 0 |a Part I: View of the landscape. Expectations and the learning approach -- Introduction to the techniques -- Variations on a theme -- Applications -- Part II: Mathematical background and tools. The mathematical background -- Tools: stochastic approximation -- Further topics in stochastic approximation -- Univariate linear models -- Further topics in linear models -- Multivariate linear models -- Nonlinear models: steady states -- Cycles and sunspot equilibria -- Misspecification and learning -- Persistent learning dynamics -- Extensions and other approaches -- Conclusions. 
520 |a "A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity. Inflation, asset prices, exchange rates, investment, and consumption are just some of the economic variables that are largely explained by expectations. Here George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring new explanatory power to a variety of expectation formation models by focusing on the learning factor. Whereas the rational expectations paradigm offers the prevailing method to determining expectations, it assumes very theoretical knowledge on the part of economic actors. Evans and Honkapohja contribute to a growing body of research positing that households and firms learn by making forecasts using observed data, updating their forecast rules over time in response to errors. This book is the first systematic development of the new statistical learning approach. Depending on the particular economic structure, the economy may converge to a standard rational-expectations or a "rational bubble" solution, or exhibit persistent learning dynamics. The learning approach also provides tools to assess the importance of new models with expectational indeterminacy, in which expectations are an independent cause of macroeconomic fluctuations. Moreover, learning dynamics provide a theory for the evolution of expectations and selection between alternative equilibria, with implications for business cycles, asset price volatility, and policy. This book provides an authoritative treatment of this emerging field, developing the analytical techniques in detail and using them to synthesize and extend existing research"--Publisher's description 
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546 |a English. 
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650 0 |a Rational expectations (Economic theory) 
650 0 |a Economics  |x Methodology. 
650 0 |a Economics  |x Statistical methods. 
650 6 |a Économie politique  |x Méthodologie. 
650 6 |a Économie politique  |x Méthodes statistiques. 
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650 7 |a Economics  |x Statistical methods.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00902215 
650 7 |a Rational expectations (Economic theory)  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01090263 
700 1 |a Honkapohja, Seppo,  |d 1951-  |e author. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Evans, George W., 1949-  |t Learning and expectations in macroeconomics.  |d Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, ©2001  |z 0691049211  |w (DLC) 00048320  |w (OCoLC)45066312 
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