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Driving to safety : how many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability? /
"How safe are autonomous vehicles? The answer is crucial for developing sound policies to govern their deployment. One proposal to assess safety is to test-drive autonomous vehicles in real traffic, observe their performance, and make statistical comparisons to human driver performance. This ap...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autores principales: | , |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Santa Monica, Calif. :
RAND,
[2016]
|
| Colección: | Research report (Rand Corporation) ;
RR-1478-RC. |
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Kalra, Nidhi, |e author. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Driving to safety : |b how many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability? / |c Nidhi Kalra, Susan M. Paddock. |
| 246 | 3 | |a How many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability? | |
| 264 | 1 | |a Santa Monica, Calif. : |b RAND, |c [2016] | |
| 264 | 4 | |c ©2016 | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (13 pages) : |b color charts | ||
| 336 | |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a computer |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a online resource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a Research report ; |v RR-1478-RC | |
| 500 | |a "April 12, 2016"--Table of contents page | ||
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 12-13). | ||
| 505 | 0 | 0 | |t Key findings -- |t How many miles would autonomous vehicles have to be driven without failure to demonstrate that their failure rate is below some benchmark? -- |t How many miles would autonomous vehicles have to be driven to demonstrate their failure rate to a particular degree of precision? -- |t How many miles would autonomous vehicles have to be driven to demonstrate that their failure rate is statistically significantly lower than the human driver failure rate? -- |t Discussion and conclusions. |
| 505 | 0 | 0 | |t Key Findings -- |t How Many Miles Would Autonomous Vehicles Have To Be Driven Without Failure To Demonstrate That Their Failure Rate Is Below Some Benchmark? -- |t How Many Miles Would Autonomous Vehicles Have To Be Driven To Demonstrate Their Failure R Ate To A Particular Degree Of Precision? -- |t How Many Miles Would Autonomous Vehicles Have To Be Driven To Demonstrate That Their Failure Rate Is Statistically Significantly Lower Than The Human Driver Failure Rate? -- |t Discussion And Conclusions -- |t References-- |t About the Authors. |
| 520 | |a "How safe are autonomous vehicles? The answer is crucial for developing sound policies to govern their deployment. One proposal to assess safety is to test-drive autonomous vehicles in real traffic, observe their performance, and make statistical comparisons to human driver performance. This approach is logical, but it is practical? In this report, we calculate the number of miles that would need to be driven to provide clear statistical evidence of autonomous vehicle safety. Given that current traffic fatalities and injuries are rare events compared with vehicle miles traveled, we show that fully autonomous vehicles would have to be driven hundreds of millions of miles and sometimes hundreds of billions of miles to demonstrate their safety in terms of fatalities and injuries. Under even aggressive testing assumptions, existing fleets would take tens and sometimes hundreds of years to drive these miles--an impossible proposition if the aim is to demonstrate performance prior to releasing them for consumer use. Our findings demonstrate that developers of this technology and third-party testers cannot simply drive their way to safety. Instead, they will need to develop innovative methods of demonstrating safety and reliability. And yet, it may still not be possible to establish with certainty the safety of autonomous vehicles. Therefore, it is imperative that autonomous vehicle regulations are adaptive--designed from the outset to evolve with the technology so that society can better harness the benefits and manage the risks of these rapidly evolving and potentially transformative technologies"--Publisher's description | ||
| 588 | 0 | |a Online resource; title from PDF title page (RAND, viewed April 12, 2016). | |
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR All Purchased | ||
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR Open Access | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Automated vehicles |z United States |x Decision making. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Motor vehicles |z United States |x Automatic control. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Automobile industry and trade |x Technological innovations |z United States. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Traffic safety |z United States. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Intelligent control systems. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Véhicules autonomes |z États-Unis |x Prise de décision. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Véhicules automobiles |z États-Unis |x Commande automatique. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Automobiles |x Industrie et commerce |x Innovations |z États-Unis. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Sécurité routière |z États-Unis. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Commande intelligente. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Automobile industry and trade |x Technological innovations |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Intelligent control systems |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Motor vehicles |x Automatic control |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Suites (Harpsichord, percussion, viola) |2 fast | |
| 651 | 7 | |a United States |2 fast | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Paddock, Susan M., |e author. | |
| 710 | 2 | |a Rand Corporation, |e issuing body, |e publisher. | |
| 830 | 0 | |a Research report (Rand Corporation) ; |v RR-1478-RC. | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://jstor.uam.elogim.com/stable/10.7249/j.ctt1btc0xw |z Texto completo |
| 938 | |a YBP Library Services |b YANK |n 12974140 | ||
| 994 | |a 92 |b IZTAP | ||