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Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography /
The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a qua...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Otros Autores: | , |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
2003.
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Lempert, Robert J. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Shaping the next one hundred years : |b new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / |c Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. |
| 260 | |a Santa Monica, CA : |b RAND, |c 2003. | ||
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages) | ||
| 336 | |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
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| 520 | |a The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY; | |
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references. | ||
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR Open Access | ||
| 590 | |a JSTOR |b Books at JSTOR All Purchased | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a System analysis. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Decision making. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Information technology. | |
| 650 | 2 | |a Systems Analysis | |
| 650 | 2 | |a Decision Making | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Analyse de systèmes. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Prise de décision. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Technologie de l'information. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a systems analysis. |2 aat | |
| 650 | 7 | |a decision making. |2 aat | |
| 650 | 7 | |a information technology. |2 aat | |
| 650 | 7 | |a POLITICAL SCIENCE |x Public Policy |x General. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a TRANSPORTATION |x General. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Decision making |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Information technology |2 fast | |
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| 653 | |a Samfundsvidenskab |a Politologi. | ||
| 700 | 1 | |a Popper, Steven W., |d 1953- | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Bankes, Steven C. | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print version: |a Lempert, Robert J. |t Shaping the next one hundred years. |d Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003 |w (DLC) 2003012438 |
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