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Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises.

We develop an empirical model to predict banking crises in a sample of 60 low-income countries (LICs) over the 1981-2015 period. Given the recent emergence of financial sector stress associated with low commodity prices in several LICs, we assign price movements in primary commodities a key role in...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Eberhardt, Markus
Otros Autores: Presbitero, Andrea
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; no. 18/153.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover; Contents; 1 Introduction; 2 Data and Descriptive Analysis; 2.1 Sample; 2.2 Variable Construction and Sources; 2.3 Variable Transformation; 2.4 Event Analysis; 3 Empirical Model and Implementation; 4 Results and Discussion; 4.1 Main results; 4.2 Goodness of Fit; 4.3 Robustness of the Baseline; 4.4 The Role of Leverage; 4.5 Capital Inflows Bonanza; 4.6 Cross-Sectional Heterogeneity; 5 Concluding Remarks; A: Data Sources and Sample Makeup; B: Additional Figures; C: Additional Regression Results.