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Oil Prices and the Global Economy.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Mohaddes, Kamiar
Otros Autores: Pesaran, M. Hashem, 1946-
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Analyzing the oil market using a multi-country model; A. The GVAR-Oil model; B. Effects of a fall in oil prices; III. Analyzing oil price changes using monthly data; A. Has the relationship between real oil and equity prices been stable over time?; B. Are lower oil prices beneficial for the U.S. and the world economy?; IV. How do global oil supplies respond to lower oil prices?; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Figures; 1. Nominal and Real (2015 U.S. dollars) WTI Oil Prices.
  • 2. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Global Real Equity Prices, Long-Term Interest Rates, and Real GDP3. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Long-Term Interest Rates in Various Countries; 4. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Inflation in Various Countries; 5. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Real GDP in Various Countries; 6. U.S. Oil Production (1000 barrels/day); 7. Real Oil Prices and Real US Equity Prices (S & P 500), 1946M1-2016M3; 8. Rolling Estimates of the Effects of Changes in Oil Prices on Equity Prices; 9. Real Oil Prices and Real Dividends (S & P 500), 1946M1-2016M3.
  • 10. Rolling Estimates of the Effects of Changes in Oil Prices on Real Dividends11. Monthly Oil Production for Iran, Iraq, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the US (1000 barrels/day); Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR-Oil Model; 2. Correlations between Changes in Real Oil Prices, Equity Prices and Dividends; 3. Estimates of the Long-run Coefficients of Real Oil Prices based on Various ARDL Regressions and Sub-samples, 1970M1-2016M4.