Disinflation, External Vulnerability, and Fiscal Intransigence : some unpleasant Mundellian arithmetic /
This paper examines the policy challenges a country faces when it wants to both reduce inflation and maintain a sustainable external position. Mundell's (1962) policy assignment framework suggests that these two goals may be mutually incompatible unless monetary and fiscal policies are properly...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autor principal: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2017.
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Colección: | IMF working paper ;
WP/17/118. |
Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Table of Contents; ABSTRACT; I. INTRODUCTION; II. A STATIC OPEN ECONOMY MACROECONOMIC MODEL; A. Net Exports and Inflation-Reduced Form Equations; III. ECONOMIC STABILIZATION: ELIMINATING EXTERNAL AND INTERNAL IMBALANCES; A. Graphical Treatment in the Spirit of Mundell (1962); B. The Perils of Fiscal Intransigence; C. Some Illustrative Examples (EML holds); D. Coordination versus Fiscal Intransigence if the EML Fails; IV. DISINFLATION, THE EXTERNAL POSITION, AND CREDIBILITY: A DYNAMIC ANALYSIS; A. The Toxic Mix Again: High Inflation, External Deficits, and Low Credibility.
- v. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONSVI. REFERENCES; VII. APPENDIX; A. Translating Percent of Potential Output into Currency Units; B. Model Parameters; FIGURES; 1: The Expanded Marshall-Lerner (EML) Condition; 2: Required Adjustments to Attain Internal Balance (?*=?); 3: Required Adjustments to Attain External Balance (nx*=nx); 4: Required Adjustments for Joint Stabilization
- EML holds; 5: Required Adjustments for Joint Stabilization
- EML fails; 6: External Debt (Percent of GDP); 7: Real Interest Rate (Domestic, in Percent); 8: Fiscal Adjustment (% of GDP; 9: Real Exchange Rate (Appreciation +).
- 10: Risk Premium (in Percent)11: Output Gap (in percent); TABLES; 1: External Vulnerability and Inflation: Selected Emerging Market Countries; 2: Adjustments Required for External and Internal Stabilization.