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Assessing corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia : a bottom-up default analysis /

Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabiliti...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Chan-Lau, Jorge A. (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, District of Columbia : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/17/97.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Assessing corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia :  |b a bottom-up default analysis /  |c by Jorge A. Chan-Lau [and three others]. 
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520 3 |a Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabilities of default (PDs) under different macroeconomic scenarios. In particular, a protracted recession and the ensuing currency depreciation could erode buffers on corporate balance sheets, pushing up the probabilities of default (PDs) in the corporate sector to the high levels observed during the Global Financial Crisis. While this is a low-probability scenario, the results suggest the need to closely monitor vulnerabilities and strengthen contingency plans. 
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