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The Impact of Trade Agreements in Latin America using the Synthetic Control Method.
The paper employs synthetic control method (SCM) to determine the impact of trade agreements for 64 Latin American country pairs in the period 1989-1996. The results suggest that trade agreements have markedly boosted exports in Latin America, on an average by 76.4 percentage points over ten years....
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2017.
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| Colección: | IMF working paper ;
WP/17/45. |
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Contents; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. Trade Agreements in Latin America; III. Empirical strategy; A. SCM Methodology; B. Application of SCM to Bilateral Trade Pairs; The Trade Agreements; From Gravity Model to SCM; IV. Results; A. Average of Countries; B. Individual Countries; C. Placebo (or Falsification) Tests; V. Concluding Thoughts
- Why Are Export Gains Less Than World?; VI. References; Tables; 1. Trade Agreements; 2. Country Pairs; Figures; 1. Number of Country Pairs in Sample for Each Trade Agreement; 2. Average Exports; 3. Average Exports in NAFTA.
- 4. U.S. Exports to Canada and Mexico5. Canada Exports to Mexico and U.S.; 6. Mexico Exports to Canada and U.S.; 7. Export Growth of Average Treated over Ten Years, Relative to Average Synthetic; 8. Export Growth of Average Treated in Ten Years, Relative to Average Synthetic; 9. Export Gains versus Goodness of Fit (1); 10. Export Gains versus Goodness of Fit (2); 11. Export Gains by Size of Exporting Country; 12. Export Gains by Income per Capita of Exporting Country; 13. Export Gains over Ten Years, Average of Individual Country Gains; 14. Export Gains over Ten Years.