China's evolving nuclear deterrent : major drivers and issues for the United States /

"China's approach to nuclear deterrence has been broadly consistent since its first nuclear test in 1964. Key elements are its no-first-use policy and reliance on a small force of nuclear weapons capable of executing retaliatory strikes if China is attacked. China has recently accelerated...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Heginbotham, Eric (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND Corporation, [2017]
Colección:Research report (Rand Corporation) ; RR-1628-AF.
Temas:
2000-2099
Nuclear weapons > Government policy > China.
Deterrence (Strategy)
Nuclear weapons > China > 21st century.
Ballistic missile defenses > China > 21st century.
Nuclear warfare > 21st century.
Security, International > 21st century.
Armes nucléaires > Politique gouvernementale > Chine.
Dissuasion (Stratégie)
Armes nucléaires > Chine > 21e siècle.
Défense antimissile balistique > Chine > 21e siècle.
Guerre nucléaire > 21e siècle.
HISTORY > Military > Other.
TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING > Military Science.
Nuclear weapons > Government policy.
Ballistic missile defenses.
Military policy.
Nuclear warfare.
Nuclear weapons.
Security, International.
China > Military policy > 21st century.
China.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Preface
  • Figure and Tables
  • Summary
  • Acknowledgments 1. China's Evolving Nuclear Deterrent: Introduction: Background
  • Literature Review
  • Objectives, Scope, and Boundaries
  • Findings
  • Organization of This Report
  • 2. Baseline: China's Evolving Strategic Nuclear Concepts: Chinese Nuclear Policy
  • Chinese Views on Deterrence
  • Chinese Nuclear Strategic and Operational Concepts
  • Future Evolution
  • 3. China's Nuclear Force Structure: Historical Background
  • China's Current Nuclear Force Structure
  • Future Land-and Sea-Based Missile Systems
  • Conclusions
  • 4. China's View of the Global Security Environment: Overall Security Environment
  • Low Likelihood of Major Power Conflict
  • Threats Remain, Asia-Pacific Region Less "Stable"
  • Chinese Views on Global Nuclear Environment
  • Conclusions
  • 5. Chinese Views of U.S. Nuclear Forces and Policy: U.S. Nuclear Weapon Doctrine and Strategy
  • Ballistic Missile Defense
  • Conventional Prompt Global Strike
  • Conclusion
  • 6. Nested Security Dilemmas and China's View of Other (Non-U.S.) Nuclear Powers: Nested Security Dilemmas
  • Russia as Contributor to Global Nuclear Atmospherics
  • South Asia's Increasing Nuclear Prominence
  • China's North Korea Problem
  • China's View of Japan
  • Conclusion
  • 7. Internal Drivers: Political Leadership and Bureaucracy: China's Political Leadership and the Rational-Actor Model
  • Bureaucratic Politics and the Military Services
  • Organizational Process as a Potential Driver of Chinese Nuclear Force Structure
  • Conclusion
  • 8. Material Resources and Constraints: China's Budgetary Environment
  • Fissile Material as a Limiting Factor
  • Conclusions
  • 9. Outputs: Potential Developments in China's Nuclear Future: China's Discussions of the No-First-Use Policy
  • Accelerated Buildup of Nuclear Systems
  • Nuclear Warfighting Capability or Concepts
  • Investing in a Nuclear Triad
  • Establishing a Chinese Missile Defense System
  • Incorporating New Technology
  • Conclusions
  • 10. Contingent Futures: Drivers and Probabilities
  • Chinese Nuclear Futures: Three Scenarios
  • 11. China's Accelerating Nuclear Modernization: Implications: Arms Control and Arms Racing
  • Crisis Stability and Escalation
  • Implications for Extended Deterrence of Nuclear and Regional Political Stability
  • Recommendations
  • Abbreviations
  • Bibliography.

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