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Selected issues in macroeconomic and regional modeling : Romania as an emerging country in the EU /
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Otros Autores: | , , |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
New York :
Nova Science Publishers,
[2016]
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| Colección: | Economic issues, problems and perspectives
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- SELECTED ISSUES IN MACROECONOMIC AND REGIONAL MODELING ROMANIA AS AN EMERGING COUNTRY IN THE EU ; SELECTED ISSUES IN MACROECONOMIC AND REGIONAL MODELING ROMANIA AS AN EMERGING COUNTRY IN THE EU ; CONTENTS ; PREFACE ; SECTION I: MACROECONOMIC ISSUES, MODELLING AND FORECASTING ; Chapter 1 LONG-RUN RELATIONSHIPS, SHORT-RUN DYNAMICS OF EXCHANGE RATES BASED ON MONETARY FUNDAMENTALS: UNDERSTANDING FORECASTING POWER ; ABSTRACT ; INTRODUCTION ; MODELS WITH MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS BASED ON THE MONETARY APPROACH ; Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) ; Real Interest Rate Differential Model
- Hooper
- Morton Model EMPIRICAL RESULTS ; Data and Methodology ; Estimated Models Based on Fundamental Macroeconomic Variables ; IV. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF MODELS ; CONCLUSION ; ANNEXES ; REFERENCES ; Chapter 2 FORECASTING THE GROWTH RATE, THE EXCHANGE RATE AND THE INFLATION RATE IN ROMANIA: A COMPARISON OF DIFFERENT FORECASTING MODELS ; ABSTRACT ; I. INTRODUCTION ; II. DATA AND METHODOLOGY ; II.1. Data ; II.2. Methodology; ARIMA and ARFIMA Models ; Taylor's (2003) Double-Seasonal Holt-Winters Model ; Exponential Smoothing State Space (ETS) Model; BATS and TBATS Models
- Theta Forecasting Method III. RESULTS ; III.1. Long-Term Forecasts ; III.2. Medium-Term Forecasts ; CONCLUSION ; APPENDIX A
- FORECASTING RESULTS FOR LONG-TERM PROGNOSES ; APPENDIX B
- FORECASTING RESULTS FOR MEDIUM-TERM PROGNOSES ; REFERENCES ; Chapter 3 NON-PARAMETRIC STOCHASTIC SIMULATIONS TO CAPTURE THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE PRODUCTION OF MANUFACTURED GOODS FOR ROMANIA ; ABSTRACT ; I. INTRODUCTION ; II. METHODOLOGY AND DATABASE ; III. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS ; REFERENCES ; Chapter 4 PHILLIPS CURVE IN SOME EUROPEAN UNION COUNTRIES: A PANEL DATA APPROACH ; ABSTRACT ; I. INTRODUCTION
- II. THE PANEL DATA MODEL III. APPLICATIONS ; Example 1 ; Example 2 ; CONCLUSION ; REFERENCES ; Chapter 5 MONEY MULTIPLIER AND VELOCITY PLAYING FOR MONEY NEUTRALITY; ABSTRACT ; INTRODUCTION: TRAITS OF THE NOWADAYS MONETARY ECONOMY ; I. THE MULTIPLIER-VELOCITY COEFFICIENT ; I.1. Theoretical Approach: On the Gold Standard Environment ; I.2. Empirical Approach: On the Fed's Monetary Base ; Model: Money Multiplier (Mmult) and Velocity (MZMV) ; A. Equations ; B. Comments on Equation (1) ; C. Comments on Equation (2) ; II. MULTIPLIER (MMULT) AND VELOCITY OF EFFECTIVE MONEY (M1V)
- II.1. Model Description and Significance Model: Money Multiplier (Mmult) and Velocity of Effective Money (M1V) ; A. Equations'description ; B. Comments on Equation (1); C. Comments on Equation (2) ; CONCLUSION ; REFERENCES ; Chapter 6 THE EVALUATION OF MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION PREDICTIONS BASED ON OPINION SURVEY IN ROMANIA ; ABSTRACT ; INTRODUCTION ; LITERATURE REVIEW; THE ACCURACY ASSESSMENT OF THE MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION ESTIMATIONS AND APPRECIATIONS FROM THE OPINION SURVEY ; CONCLUSION ; REFERENCES ; SECTION II: REGIONAL ECONOMIC ISSUES