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Serial sovereign defaults and debt restructurings /

Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same external debt-to-GDP ratio. These countries actually have repeated defaults or restructurings in short periods. This paper...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Asonuma, Tamon ((IMF staff))
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Tustin, CA : Xist Publishing, 2015.
[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/16/66.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Asonuma, Tamon,  |e (IMF staff) 
245 1 0 |a Serial sovereign defaults and debt restructurings /  |c prepared by Tamon Asonuma. 
264 1 |a Tustin, CA :  |b Xist Publishing,  |c 2015. 
264 1 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2016. 
264 4 |c Ã2016 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 41-44). 
520 |a Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same external debt-to-GDP ratio. These countries actually have repeated defaults or restructurings in short periods. This paper explains these stylized facts within a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework by explicitly modeling renegotiations between a defaulting country and its creditors. The quantitative analysis of the model reveals that the equilibrium probability of default for a given debt-to-GDP level is weakly increasing with the number of past defaults. The model also accords with an additional fact: lower recovery rates (high NPV haircuts) are associated with increases in spreads at renegotiation.--Abstract. 
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650 0 |a Debt relief  |z Developing countries  |x Econometric models. 
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710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Research Department,  |e issuing body. 
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