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|a UAMI
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|a Inflation-forecast targeting :
|b applying the principle of transparency /
|c Kevin Clinton [and others].
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|a [Washington, D.C.] :
|b International Monetary Fund, Research Department,
|c 2015.
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|a 1 online resource (56 pages)
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
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|a computer
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|2 rdamedia
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|a online resource
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|2 rdacarrier
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|a IMF working paper,
|x 1018-5941 ;
|v WP/15/132
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|a "June 2015."
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|a "Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has developed a structured system of forecasting and policy analysis appropriate to its needs. A common component is a model-based forecast with an endogenous policy interest rate path. The approach is characterized, among other things, by transparent communications - some IFT central banks go so far as to publish their policy interest rate projection. Some elements of this regime, although a work still in progress, are worthy of consideration by central banks that have not yet officially adopted full-fledged inflation targeting."--Abstract
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|a Cover; CONTENTS; I. INTRODUCTION; II. SOME HISTORY OF INFLATION TARGETING; III. BACKGROUND ON INFLATION-FORECAST TARGETING; III. 1 Defining IFT; III. 2 Long-run expectations anchor to IFT; III. 2.1 The anchor; III. 2.2 The transmission mechanism; Figures; Figure 1. Monetary Policy Model: IFT Feedback Response and Transmission; III. 2.3 Endogenous policy response; III. 2.4 Publication of endogenous interest rate forecasts; IV. USING IFT TO HELP AVOID DARK CORNERS; IV. 1 Implied forward guidance in IFT; IV. 2 Deflation risk in Japan and the euro area.
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|a Figure 2. Inflation Expectations and Unemployment Rate in JapanTABLES; Table 1. Selected Economic Indicators for Japan and Canada; Figure 3. Japan Sectoral Stock Market Indices versus Exchange Rate; Figure 4. Inflation Expectations and Unemployment Rate in the Euro Area; Figure 5. Evolution of Policy Rates in US, Euro Area, Japan, UK and the Czech; Table 2. Consensus CPI Inflation Expectations; Figure 6. Consensus Forecasts for Wage and Consumption in Major Economies; V. ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLES OF POLICY-MAKING STRATEGY BASED ON A SIMPLE MODEL; V.1 Introduction; V.2 Outline of the model.
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|a v. 3 Illustrative simulation resultsV. 3.1 Policy response to current economic situation; Figure 7. Illustrative Example of the Current Situation: IFB Reaction Function versus a Dual; Figure 8. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for the Current Situation (Part 1); Figure 9. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for the Current Situation (Part 2); V.3.2 Demand shocks; Figure 10. Vulnerabilities Related to the ZLB under IFB Reaction Function; Figure 11. Vulnerabilities Related to the ZLB under Dual Mandate CB Optimal Control (DM1; V.3.3 Supply shocks.
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|a Figure 12. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for Illustrative Nasty Supply Shock (Part 1)Figure 13. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for Illustrative Nasty Supply Shock (Part 2); V.3.4 A summing up; V.4 Confidence intervals and alternative simulations; Figure 14. Illustrative Examples of the Current Situation with Confidence Bands; Figure 15. Illustrative Examples of the Current Situation with Confidence Bands; Figure 16. Illustrative Examples of the Current Situation with Confidence Bands; Figure 17. Illustrative Examples of Nasty Supply Shock with Confidence Bands.
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|a Figure 18: Illustrative Examples of Nasty Supply Shock with Confidence BandsFigure 19: Illustrative Examples of Nasty Supply Shock with Confidence Bands; VI. CONCLUSION; References; References.
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|a eBooks on EBSCOhost
|b EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - Worldwide
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650 |
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|a Inflation (Finance)
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|a Monetary policy.
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|a Inflation, Economic
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|a Inflation.
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|a Politique monétaire.
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650 |
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|a Inflation (Finance)
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst00972450
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|a Monetary policy.
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst01025230
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700 |
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|a Clinton, Kevin,
|e author.
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|a International Monetary Fund.
|b Research Department.
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776 |
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|i Print version:
|a Clinton, Kevin.
|t Inflation-Forecast Targeting : Applying the Principle of Transparency.
|d Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2015
|z 9781513557656
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830 |
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|a IMF working paper ;
|v WP/15/132.
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856 |
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