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Inflation-forecast targeting : applying the principle of transparency /

"Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has developed a structured system of forecasting and poli...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Clinton, Kevin (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Research Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Research Department, 2015.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/15/132.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 0 0 |a Inflation-forecast targeting :  |b applying the principle of transparency /  |c Kevin Clinton [and others]. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund, Research Department,  |c 2015. 
300 |a 1 online resource (56 pages) 
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337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
490 1 |a IMF working paper,  |x 1018-5941 ;  |v WP/15/132 
500 |a "June 2015." 
520 |a "Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has developed a structured system of forecasting and policy analysis appropriate to its needs. A common component is a model-based forecast with an endogenous policy interest rate path. The approach is characterized, among other things, by transparent communications - some IFT central banks go so far as to publish their policy interest rate projection. Some elements of this regime, although a work still in progress, are worthy of consideration by central banks that have not yet officially adopted full-fledged inflation targeting."--Abstract 
505 0 |a Cover; CONTENTS; I. INTRODUCTION; II. SOME HISTORY OF INFLATION TARGETING; III. BACKGROUND ON INFLATION-FORECAST TARGETING; III. 1 Defining IFT; III. 2 Long-run expectations anchor to IFT; III. 2.1 The anchor; III. 2.2 The transmission mechanism; Figures; Figure 1. Monetary Policy Model: IFT Feedback Response and Transmission; III. 2.3 Endogenous policy response; III. 2.4 Publication of endogenous interest rate forecasts; IV. USING IFT TO HELP AVOID DARK CORNERS; IV. 1 Implied forward guidance in IFT; IV. 2 Deflation risk in Japan and the euro area. 
505 8 |a Figure 2. Inflation Expectations and Unemployment Rate in JapanTABLES; Table 1. Selected Economic Indicators for Japan and Canada; Figure 3. Japan Sectoral Stock Market Indices versus Exchange Rate; Figure 4. Inflation Expectations and Unemployment Rate in the Euro Area; Figure 5. Evolution of Policy Rates in US, Euro Area, Japan, UK and the Czech; Table 2. Consensus CPI Inflation Expectations; Figure 6. Consensus Forecasts for Wage and Consumption in Major Economies; V. ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLES OF POLICY-MAKING STRATEGY BASED ON A SIMPLE MODEL; V.1 Introduction; V.2 Outline of the model. 
505 8 |a v. 3 Illustrative simulation resultsV. 3.1 Policy response to current economic situation; Figure 7. Illustrative Example of the Current Situation: IFB Reaction Function versus a Dual; Figure 8. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for the Current Situation (Part 1); Figure 9. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for the Current Situation (Part 2); V.3.2 Demand shocks; Figure 10. Vulnerabilities Related to the ZLB under IFB Reaction Function; Figure 11. Vulnerabilities Related to the ZLB under Dual Mandate CB Optimal Control (DM1; V.3.3 Supply shocks. 
505 8 |a Figure 12. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for Illustrative Nasty Supply Shock (Part 1)Figure 13. Comparison of 4 Reaction Functions for Illustrative Nasty Supply Shock (Part 2); V.3.4 A summing up; V.4 Confidence intervals and alternative simulations; Figure 14. Illustrative Examples of the Current Situation with Confidence Bands; Figure 15. Illustrative Examples of the Current Situation with Confidence Bands; Figure 16. Illustrative Examples of the Current Situation with Confidence Bands; Figure 17. Illustrative Examples of Nasty Supply Shock with Confidence Bands. 
505 8 |a Figure 18: Illustrative Examples of Nasty Supply Shock with Confidence BandsFigure 19: Illustrative Examples of Nasty Supply Shock with Confidence Bands; VI. CONCLUSION; References; References. 
590 |a eBooks on EBSCOhost  |b EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - Worldwide 
650 0 |a Inflation (Finance) 
650 0 |a Monetary policy. 
650 2 |a Inflation, Economic 
650 6 |a Inflation. 
650 6 |a Politique monétaire. 
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650 7 |a Monetary policy.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01025230 
700 1 |a Clinton, Kevin,  |e author. 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Research Department. 
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830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/15/132. 
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